Hertha Berlin v FC Koln
Saturday 14:30
The kangaroos did indeed run free. Melbourne City 2 Perth Glory 3 in Australia on Friday morning. Which means we've won 3/4 so far this week.
Today, we return to Germany. Scene of an epic 0-0 between Bayer Leverkusen and Spurs earlier this week, we're hoping for something similar as fifth-placed Hertha Berlin entertain second-placed FC Koln in one of Saturday afternoon's Bundesliga matches.
There have been just three goals across their last three head-to-heads and we're braced for another low scorer this weekend. The Old Lady have delivered Under 2.5 Goals in 17/27 at the Olympiastadion since Pal Dardai took charge. In all of those games they've only once scored more than twice.
Peter Stoger's Billy Goats have seen Under 2.5 Goals on 23/37 away days (including 11 of the last 14). That fraction too suggests the price should be closer to 1.608/13 and that there's value in backing Under 2.5 Goals at 1.728/11 for today's game.
Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.728/11 in Hertha Berlin v FC Koln
2016 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 144pts
Returned: 135.98pts
P/L: -8.02pts