Football Bet of the Day: No wham-bam at Ham-Kam

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Fred-rikstad: The Norwegian outfit also lack a little something in front of goal

"6/9 Ham-Kam home games and 7/9 Fredrikstad away matches have stayed Under 2.5 Goals"

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.486/4 in Ham-Kam v Fredrikstad

The Aristocrats are on their way to Hamar and Tobias Gourlay expects lips to curl as stiff defences keep the upper hand

Brommapojkarna 1 Gefle 2 in Allsvenskan last night.

The problems continue to mount for Bromma, but Both Teams to Score backers were paid out by half time and could be quickly on their way to the border.

Because Norway's where the action is this evening. We're taking a step down to the second-tier Adeccoligaen but a drop off in quality is exactly what we're looking for...

The market is expecting at least three goals, but we're not quite so sure. Of course, Ham-Kam are bottom of the table and, with four teams to go down, a somewhat daunting 17 points short of safety.

Defence, however, is not the worst of their problems. In total they've conceded 37 in the first 19 rounds of the season, which is the exactly the same as the teams in seventh and eleventh. At home they've leaked no more than one goal in 6/9 outings.

The real issue, then, is upfront, where they've managed just 10 goals of their own all season. They've hit the back of the net more than once in just 1/9 at the Briskeby Gressbane.

Visiting Fredrikstad are ninth in the 16-team league, but have been less prolific than anyone else outside the bottom five. Defence is their strong suit: statistically, they are third best in the league on that front, allowing just nine goals in nine away games (four of them in a single match).

The bottom line: 6/9 Ham-Kam home games and 7/9 Fredrikstad away matches have stayed Under 2.5 Goals.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.486/4 in Ham-Kam v Fredrikstad

2014 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 10pts
Returned: 9.2pts

-0.8pts

Tobias Gourlay

A Betfair regular since Euro 2008, Tobias covers every blade of grass in every league of the world to find our Football Bet of the Day.

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