Fiorentina v Tottenham
Thursday 18:00 (Live on BT Sport Extra)
Sporting Gijon 1 Barcelona 3 in northern Spain yesterday. Which means we get our stake back, plus a small payout on half of it.
Stepping away from Europe's top table and down to the Europa League, there's a game in Italy that's catching our eye for all the wrong reasons.
Tottenham are on a winning streak of seven across all competitions, but defence has been the bedrock of Mauricio Pochettino's success. Traditionally expansive Spurs have conceded fewer goals than anyone else in the Premier League this term.
This time last year, Spurs went to Florence and lost 2-0. If Pochettino puts out a full-strength team, he'll be confident of reversing that result, but our interest is in the goals line. The Londoners have scored just five times in their last seven European away days. Five of those games finished with Under 2.5 Goals in total.
Over the last couple of years, eight of Fiorentina's 12 Europa League home games have also been low scorers and that's enough to dampen our expectations for tonight's entertainment.
Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.804/5 in Fiorentina v Tottenham
2016 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 20pts
Returned: 15.93pts
P/L: -4.07pts