Excelsior v NAC
Sunday 13:30
Braga 3 Setubal 1 in Portugal last night brought us a most welcome win. We're finishing the week by crossing the line. Because over in the free-scoring Netherlands we've seen a match with potential for Under 2.5 Goals.
Twelfth-placed Excelsior are the 18-team Eredivisie's worst home team. Mitchell van der Gaag's men have scored just nine times in 11 appearances at Woudestein Stadium.
Newly promoted from the Eerstedivisie, 15th-placed NAC Breda have been just as unprolific on the road. Stijn Vreven's men have scored nine in 11 away from home. At the other end, their defence has been better than their lowly league position might suggest: 17 conceded in 11 makes them the Eredivisie's eighth-best away defence. With six of their most recent nine away days produced Under 2.5 Goals, that's our bet of the day.
Recommended bets
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.9720/21 in Excelsior v NAC
2018 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 20pts
Returned: 21.77pts
P/L: +1.77pts