Den Bosch v Sparta Rotterdam
Friday 19:00
Barcelona made all the changes we hoped for yesterday - a full 11 from their last Liga game - but the result was almost exactly the same. Just the 4-0 this time, but our handicap was smashed.
We move slowly on to the Netherlands, where the national reputation for producing goal-laden football means you often get good prices backing low scorers.
Den Bosch have hit the back of the net just four times in their last six Eerstedivisie outings at De Vliert.
They've conceded only five times, however, and it's solid defence that's keeping their heads above water in mid-table.
Since the middle of last season, 12/18 of their home games have finished with Under 2.5 Goals, which tallies nicely with Sparta Rotterdam's recent drop-off.
The visitors have failed to score in three of their last four away games. The last two have been completely goalless and tonight's odds-against price on Under 2.5 Goals looks more generous than either of the defences on show.
Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.1411/10 in Den Bosch v Sparta Rotterdam
2015 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 8pts
Returned: 8.79pts
P/L: +0.79pts