Catania v Ternana
Friday 18:00
Fiorentina 1 Dynamo Kyiv 0 in the Europa League last night. Normally, of course, we'd take the blame for Kyiv's failure to score, but this time there's a scapegoat.
Step forward, Mr Jeremain Lens, who demonstrated maturity far short of his 27 years in getting sent off in the first half for a second yellow card. Well in, son.
To Sicily, where we shall wipe clean the very last traces of bitterness.
And where Catania and Ternana thought there wasn't much beyond their respective places in Serie B riding on their clash this evening, until we got involved.
Twelfth-placed Catania have delivered Over 2.5 Goals in two-thirds of their home games this season (12/18), including 11/13 in which the Elephants have failed to keep a clean sheet.
Level on points with their hosts - and thus also just three points into the safe zone - thirteenth-placed Ternana have a good scoring record on the road this term. Excluding a trio of away games in which the Beasts were surprisingly shut out by each of Serie B's bottom three, they've hit the back of the net in 14/15.
Under Attilio Tesser, 13/23 road games in which they've scored have ended up going Over 2.5 Goals, which is exactly where we want to be this evening.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.26/5 in Catania v Ternana
2015 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 57pts
Returned: 65.17pts
P/L: +8.17pts