Braga v Tondela
Monday 19:00
Kev capped a fine week with another winner in Denmark yesterday. Aalborg 1 Sonderjyske 2 might have upset the hosts, but our man knew exactly what was coming. So it's a hat tip to him and, to start the new week, a fat tip from us.
Fourth in the Primeira Liga and behind only the Big Three, Sporting Braga are set to claim the title of Portugal's best of the rest. At the Quarry, Paulo Fonseca's men helped 8/14 to deliver Over 2.5 Goals. While they're prolific enough in attack, scoring 19 in their last seven appearances there, at the other end they've been leaving the back door open. Visitors have scored at least once in 6/9.
Bottom-of-the-table Tondela still have an outside chance of survival, so they should be fighting tooth and nail for anything they can get out of Braga. There's a glimmer of hope for them too: since Armando Petit took charge, they've scored in a perfect 8/8 away games. Seven of those matches went Over 2.5 Goals and that's our pick for tonight.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.804/5 in Braga v Tondela
2016 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 52pts
Returned: 39.19pts
P/L: -11.81pts