Football Bet of the Day: Bags of goals in Braga

Braga v Setubal
Saturday 18:15

Fiorentina and Juventus left us a goal short at the Artemio Franchi last night. It was better news for the visitors, whose 2-0 win puts them top of the table.

We're off to Portugal today for the Primeira Liga game between Braga and Setubal. Portuguese football tends to be short on goals, but we reckon this one can go longer than most.

Fourth-placed Braga are running at more than three goals a home game this season (34 in 11). Setubal are the only team in the league who haven't won an away game (W0-D4-L5), but they have scored nine times across those nine matches and we fancy they can help get this one over the line.

Braga have won this fixture in each of the last five seasons, with 4/5 delivering Over 2.5 Goals in total. They've scored at least twice themselves in all of those wins. At the Municipal Stadium most recently, they've struck at least twice in 7/9, with the same fraction producing Over 2.5 Goals.

Setubal have scored in five of their last six on the road, with 5/6 also going Over 2.5 Goals. At almost even money, that's enough to make this our bet of the day.