Arka Gdynia v Jagiellonia Bialystock
Monday 17:00
Disappointment at the last for Kev as Schalke went down 1-0 at home Bayer Leverkusen yesterday afternoon. If we were him, we'd be blaming the 4th-minute red card for Schalke's Naldo. Of course it changed the game completely.
We're kicking off this week in Poland, where there's one match to go in the latest round of the top-flight Ekstraklasa.
Ninth-placed Arka Gdynia have delivered Over 2.5 Goals in 5/9 league games at Stadion GOSiR this term, and we like the odds-against price on that becoming 6/10 at home to second-placed Jagiellonia Bialystock this evening.
The visitors start as favourites, but the Herrings have struck at least once in eight of those nine home games. At the other end, however, they're now four appearances there without a clean sheet.
Visiting Jaga might have too much firepower for them. Michal Probierz's men have struck at least twice in 5/6 on the road. Four of the last five have gone Over 2.5 Goals in total. Since Probierz took charge, it's exactly 50% of their away games that have got over the line, and that too suggests tonight's price is too good to ignore.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.245/4 in Arka Gdynia v Jagiellonia Bialystock
2016 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 165pts
Returned: 148.78pts
P/L: -16.22pts