Bundesliga Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Tips for every fixture of GW9

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Top scorer Wout Weghorst can help lead Wolfsburg up the table

"Leipzig suffered a setback in midweek, losing 1-0 to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League, but they should be confident of getting back to winning ways against an Arminia Bielefeld side in freefall"

Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides Bundesliga result and scoreline predictions as the table begins to take shape...

Wolfsburg to keep the pressure on the top four

Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen
Friday, 19:30
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Wolfsburg are still unbeaten through eight games, albeit with five draws, and Friday's evening game sees them take on a Werder Bremen side with just one defeat of their own. The visitors won the corresponding game last year, but Infogol gives the hosts a 57% chance of success with their record in front of goal at the Volkswagen Arena helping them gain the upper hand.

Back the 2-1 @ 9.6017/2

Augsburg to keep Freiburg looking down nervously

Augsburg v Freiburg
Saturday, 14:30
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Augsburg earned a good point away to Borussia Mönchengladbach last weekend, and will hope to follow it up with a home victory. Opponents Freiburg are coming off three straight defeats, the last of them against then-bottom of the table Mainz, and a leaky defence away from home could prove their undoing once again.

Back the 2-1 @ 10.5019/2

Dortmund to keep Köln in the bottom three

Borussia Dortmund v Köln
Saturday, 14:30
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Köln are one of two Bundesliga sides without a league win this season, and a trip to Dortmund isn't likely to help. Lucien Favre's side won this game 5-1 last term, taking the lead inside the first minute, and another early goal this weekend could make it a very long afternoon for the visitors.

Back the 3-1 @ 11.5021/2

Leipzig to hand Arminia a seventh straight defeat

RB Leipzig v Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday, 14:30
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Leipzig suffered a setback in midweek, losing 1-0 to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League, but they should be confident of getting back to winning ways against an Arminia Bielefeld side in freefall. The visitors have averaged just 0.26 xGF per game across their last four matches, while the hosts have the joint-best defensive record in the league, so a home win to nil seems within the realms of possibility.

Back the 3-0 @ 8.6015/2

Stuttgart's run of draws to end against Bayern

Stuttgart v Bayern Munich
Saturday, 14:30
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Stuttgart come into this game off the back of four straight draws, including a creditable 3-3 against Hoffenheim last time out, but the visit of Bayern Munich will present a much tougher challenge. The champions have averaged 1.8 xGF per game on the road, despite losing the first of the four they have played, and Infogol's model anticipates an away win at the Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Back the 1-3 @ 11.5021/2

Frankfurt to topple high-flying Union

Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt
Saturday, 14:30
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Union Berlin continued their march up the table last week and have been good value for each of their last three victories. However, opponents Eintracht Frankfurt have been similarly impressive of late, but without being able to turn draws into wins. Infogol expects this to be close, but gives the visitors the edge.

Back the 1-2 @ 11.0010/1

The defeats to keep coming for Schalke

Borussia Mönchengladbach v Schalke
Saturday, 17:30
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Gladbach may have one eye on their midweek clash with Inter Milan, knowing a win will take them into the last 16 of the Champions League, but they ought to still have too much for Schalke. Manuel Baum's men are still waiting for their first win of the season, and will hope for success against the team who gave them their most recent victory back in January, but Infogol's model doesn't give them a good chance at Borussia-Park.

Back the 2-1 @ 9.4017/2

Leverkusen to stay in touch at the top

Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin
Sunday, 14:30
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Leverkusen are unbeaten through eight games in the league, and come up against a Hertha side which has averaged nearly two xGA per game away from home. Bruno Labbadia got one of his first Hertha wins against Peter Bosz's side last season, but this will be a tougher test for the team from the capital.

Back the 2-1 @ 9.008/1

Mainz to stay in trouble with home defeat

Mainz v Hoffenheim
Sunday., 17:00
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Mainz climbed out of the bottom three with a home win last week, but the visit of Hoffenheim could stop them in their tracks. The away team have created plenty of chances at home and in Europe this season, sometimes to the detriment of defensive solidity, but Infogol's model gives them a slight edge at the Opel Arena.

Back the 1-2 @ 9.6017/2

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Recommended bets

Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen: Back the 2-1 @ 9.6017/2
Augsburg v Freiburg: Back the 2-1 @ 10.5019/2
Borussia Dortmund v Köln: Back the 3-1 @ 11.5021/2
RB Leipzig v Arminia Bielefeld: Back the 3-0 @ 8.6015/2
Stuttgart v Bayern Munich: Back the 1-3 @ 11.5021/2
Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt: Back the 1-2 @ 11.0010/1
Borussia Mönchengladbach v Schalke: Back the 2-1 @ 9.4017/2
Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin: Back the 2-1 @ 9.008/1
Mainz v Hoffenheim: Back the 1-2 @ 9.6017/2

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