League One
Leg 1: Bromley v Cambridge United Tip: Back The Draw 90 mins @ 9/52.80
Saturday 22nd August, 15:00
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Victor Adeboyejo was the hero of the hour as Bromley gained all three points at Oakwell on the opening day of the League One season, even more sweeter for Adeboyejo against his former club Barnsley.
The Reds had chances to win it but their lack of a natural forward meant Bromley earned an amazing clean sheet despite making just over 100 passes and 33% possession stats.
Cambridge went goal crazy with a 3-2 win, in complete contrast to how strong they were defensively last term in League Two as they conceded just 33 goals in 46 in the entire season.
No manager likes those goal-happy matches and Neil Harris I am sure will want a lot more control this weekend.
Both are more counter-attack minded teams and play more out of possession and I would rather back the draw here in 90 minutes at a 9/52.80 price as the market for a win either side is too close to call.
KEY OPTA STAT: Cambridge United have failed to win any of their last seven away league games against sides from London (D3 L4), failing to score in each of their last three such matches.
Back the draw Match Odds 90
Leg 2: Stevenage v Oxford United Tip: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 8/111.73
Saturday 22nd August, 15:00
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A late equaliser on 95 minutes got Oxford a point at home to MK Dons in a 2-2 last Saturday, although without Stan Mills, who texted Aaron Ramsey on the morning of the match to say he wasn't ready to participate in the game.
MK Dons could have been well clear in the game missing a one-on-one and hitting the woodwork and it looks as though Ramsey will be keen on a possession game, which suits these hard-nosed League One teams well.
Stevenage only lost twice at home last season and had the best defensive record in the league with 13 conceded at the Lamex all campaign.
On MD1 in League One, no side attempted fewer shots in total than Stevenage (5), while only AFC Wimbledon (0.42) produced a lower xG total than the Boro (0.51), and while goals might not be on the menu, this looks a low-scoring game and the Under 2.5 Goals at 8/111.73 looks more of a play here.
It's telling that Stevenage are easy favourites at 13/102.30.
KEY OPTA STAT: Oxford have failed to win their first away league game of a season across each of their prior eight attempts (D2 L6), since a 2-0 win at Oldham in 2017.
Back Under 2.5 Goals
Leg 3: Leicester City v Burton Albion Tip: Back BTTS 'No' @ 21/202.05
Saturday 22nd August, 15:00
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Leicester let me down conceding late in a 1-1 at Notts County, and I am sure the Foxes at the price away would have been in many accas, mine included.
A massive 565 accurate passes with one big chance created is the advert for Russell Martin, and Burton here will likely be seeing the ball going sideways and back and forth all afternoon.
The Foxes did not have much of a cutting edge and the goal came from Jayden Joseph, the best player on the pitch who rounded off a 44-pass move. Forty four passes! The first 15 were backwards.
Burton just won't see the ball here but to their credit they kept Stevenage to just over 0.5 xG last weekend in a 1-1 and while Leicester are 4/91.44 strong match outright favourites, the 21/202.05 on NO with BTTS is the bet.
KEY OPTA STAT: Leicester are unbeaten across their last 14 home openers in the league (W8 D6), since August 2011 and a 2-0 defeat to Reading.
Back BTTS No
Back all three tips in a Sportsbook League One treble here
League Two
Leg 1: Bristol Rovers v Newport County Tip: Back Bristol Rovers to win @ 8/131.61
Saturday 22nd August, 12:30
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I fancy Bristol Rovers to have a good season, and while last week looked a difficult fixture at York and one I shied away from, a home fixture against one of the potentially weaker teams should give us a scare-free 8/131.61 bet.
On that 3-2 loss at the LNER Community Stadium Evans said: "Oh, personnel was wrong, shape was wrong," he said. "Probably the build-up in the week wasn't quite where it needed to be when I reflected on it."
Individual errors at the back were the culprits but they had a couple of good spells in the game and to score two away bodes well at least.
Bristol Rovers won each of their two league games against Newport County last season and will be looking to win three in succession in this fixture for the first time since 1950 and I firmly with the 8/131.61 here.
KEY OPTA STAT: Newport County have won two of their last three away Football League games against Bristol Rovers (L1), the same amount as across their prior 21 attempts combined.
Back Bristol Rovers to win
Leg 2: Shrewsbury Town v Barnet Tip: Back Barnet 4/51.80 Match Odds 90 mins
Saturday 22nd August, 15:00
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A perfect start for my Bees last Saturday with a brisk opening and a 3-1 victory over moneybags Salford.
I do believe Dean Brennan's side are going to be serious players in this division as there attack promises goals, and last year were one of the best home sides in terms of xG at 1.78.
Barnet have made some good signings and Oisin Gallagher was superb on Saturday and Charlie Lakin's energy was just as good as Gallagher's skill. If only they had kept a clean sheet.
Shrewsbury have won just one of their last six opening home matches of a league campaign (D1 L4), netting just three goals in total across that stint and hopefully the Bees can make it two out of two.
KEY OPTA STAT: After beating Salford 3-1 on the opening day, Barnet will be looking to win their first two Football League games of a campaign for just the second time after 1992-93.
Back Barnet to win Match Odds 90 mins
Leg 3: Crewe Alexandra v Northampton Town Tip: Back Crewe to win Match Odds 90 @ 1/12.00
Saturday 22nd August, 15:00
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Crewe's dominance of the xG last weekend resulted in a 0-1 away success at Crawley, but they created 2.20 going forward at the Broadfield Stadium against nine-men in a feisty match, and lost one player themselves.
That was a good sign for his young team to handle the physical side, and opponents will no doubt be looking to dominate the Alex physically.
If they get their football going, though, they can fare better than three past three seasons with finishes in 13th, 6th and 13th, and have lost just two of their last 14 home Football League games against Northampton Town (W7 D5), failing to score in just one of those matches.
KEY OPTA STAT: Northampton have lost each of their last three opening away games of a league campaign, their longest such losing run since a four-match stint between 2007 and 2010.
Back Crewe Match Odds 90 mins
Back all three League Two tips in a Sportsbook treble here
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Recommended bets
Back Bromley v Cambridge The Draw 90 mins @ 9/52.80
Back Stevenage x Oxford United Under 2.5 Goals @ 8/111.73
Back Leicester City v Burton Albion BTTS 'No' @ 21/202.05
Back all three League One tips in a Sportsbook treble @ 8/19.00
Back Bristol Rovers to beat Newport County @ 8/131.61
Back Barnet to beat Shrewsbury Match Odds 90 mins @ 4/51.80
Back Crewe to beat Northampton Match Odds 90 mins @ 1/12.00
Back all three League Two tips in a Sportsbook treble @ 9/25.50