Paarl Royals v Joburg Super Kings SAT20 Tips: Buttler could deliver 13/5 winner

• Joburg well-equipped

• Boland Park surface slow

• Ferreira a bet at 12/1

Paarl Royals v Joburg Super Kings
Wednesday 17 January, 15.30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Paarl Royals v Joburg Super Kings team news

Royals are two from two without Jos Buttler doing significant damage yet. They have beaten Pretoria Capitals twice. Jason Roy is beginning to look out of his depth or significantly on the wane.

Probable XI: Roy, Buttler, Lubbe, Miller, van Buuren, Phehlukwayo, Allen, Fortuin, Ngidi, Shamsi, McCoy

Joburg already have a net run rate of -3.3. It's going to be a major struggle to make the top four now. On a potentially slow track they could add Aaron Phangiso's spin in place of David Wiese. They could do with Gerald Coetzee returning to fitness but that's unlikely.

Possible XI: Du Plessis, Hendricks, Hermann, du Ploy, Moeen, Ferriera, Shepherd, Wiese, Williams, Burger, Tahir

Paarl Royals v Joburg Super Kings pitch report

The Boland Park surface looked deathly slow in Royals' win over Capitals. Only five of the last 13 first-innings in men's T20 have seen more than 160 busted at Boland Park. Eight of those have been won by the chaser. If the market is influenced by runs elsewhere we may have the chance to short at late 160s.

Paarl Royals v Joburg Super Kings match odds

Paarl are 1.625/8 favourites, hardening as the market has matured. That leaves Joburg at 2.3411/8. We're not entirley convinced those odds are right.

Joburg were solid last term and they are well-equipped for a tacky surface, offering varied spin options and batting deep. This pitch is a leveller if nothing else.

Paarl Royals v Joburg Super Kings player bets

Buttler has been boosted to 13/53.60 for top Royals bat. He has a win rate of 46% in this tournamemnt so we're prepared to recognise that as value. For Joburg, we'll switch from the excellent Leus du Plooy to Donovan Ferreira at 12/113.00, who gives up a small edge on win rate.

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