International League T20 Tips Matches Seven and Eight: Giants value for top bowler

• Toss bias key at both venues

• Vince back for Giants

• Aayan Khan still underrated

• Waiting for Holder to show

• Read the ILT20 team guide HERE

Dubai Capitals v Abu Dhabi Knight Riders
Sunday 7 December, 14:30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Dubai Capitals v Abu Dhabi Knight Riders ILT20 tips

One thing is guaranteed with ILT20, we do get some curious pre-toss prices on the match odds. It is 'early days' so to speak but there is a range of cash from 2.6213/8 to 2.707/4 that suggests Dubai Capitals are going to go off significant outsiders for this one. Which is crazy.

There are three reasons for that. One, Dubai Capitals are the defending champions so it is fair to reckon they have a reasonable idea about how to win games in this competition. Two, Abu Dhabi Knight Riders have never threatened to win and don't have a reasonable idea about how to win games in this competition. And third, there is the massive toss bias for the chaser in Dubai. The trend is currently 21 wins for the team batting second in the last 30 ILT20 matches. 

Perhaps the reason for the swerve on the Dub Caps is the fact they have lost two out of two. But they batted first twice in Dubai. If the tossgoes their way they really should take down a limited ADKR. They were well beaten by Vipers last time out, failing to defend 171 on Sharjah.

Team news remains ridiculously hard to come by. We have no idea why captain Jason Holder is not playing for ADKR. He has been pictured on their socials. The 4/15.00 he wins top bowler is out by almost 20 percentage points in terms of his two-year win rate.

Desert Vipers v Gulf Giants
Monday 8 December, 14:30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Desert Vipers v Gulf Giants ILT20 tips

It's played two, won two for both of these sides so far in ILT20. Whjich is tremendous news for followeers of these pages' advice. We are on Giants as rank outsiders to cause an upset and lift the title. 

But we also recognise that both teams have been fortunate to have chased in each of their matches. This one is at Sharjah and there is also a toss bias in play. The match odds market, in this example, appears to be spot on with the contest lined up as a choice affair. 

Team changes are tough to keep up with but James Vince has now arrived for Giants having missed game one. Tops backers, though, will not be happy to see him at No 3, replacing Gulbadin Naib. It sumulatenously ruins two strategies. Vince was a 27% chance but all that data was largely as an opener. And Naib finished at No 3 last season, recording impressive wins to have made him an option at 11/26.50.

Our best bet is backing Aayan Khan for top Giants wicket-taker. He missed game one but came in for their match against Capitals, picking up a wicket from his one over. Giants can trust him. He has five win in 19 making the price way out of line. 

Now read Ed's Ashes second Test In-Play summary here.