Rajasthan Royals v Delhi Capitals IPL team news
Rajasthan Royals' got back on track by becoming the first team to take down Punjab, beating them at their own game. In a chase of 222 a blistering start from Vaibhav Sooryavanshi put Royals way ahead of the rate while Yas Jasiwal wasn't exactly sluggish for his half-century.
They stuck in the game well with the ball, although Nandre Burger may benefit from some time out. He looked a little leggy at going for more than 14 an over and Adam Milne could come in for a game. Leggie Yash Raj Punja is keeping Ravi Bishnoi out of the side.
Possible XI: Jaiswal, Suryvanshi, Jurel, Hetmyer, Parag, Ferreira, dubery (sub Punja), Jadeja, Archer, Milne, Brijesh
Delhi Capitals have suffered a disastrous week, losing three games. Confidence now looks shot with a nine-wicket hammering against Royal Challengers Bangalore difficult to come back from.
They were well-beaten on roads against Sunrisers and Punjab. Being bowled out for 77 against RCB appeared to be a symptom of those two losses.
With six games left, Delhi are going to have to probably win five of them to make the play-offs. This could be the last game before Mitchell Starc is available. Lungi Ngidi may return to the XI after missing the last outing due to concussion. Kyle Jamieson would make way. Prithvi Shaw and Abhishek Porel may be under consideration to open the batting.
Possible XI: Rahul, Parakh/Shaw/Porel (sub Vipraj), Rana, Rizvi, Stubbs, Axar, Miller, Kuldeep, Chameera, Ngidi, Natarajan
Rajasthan Royals v Delhi Capitals IPL pitch report
This is only the second match played at Jaipur this season. Royals failed to defend 228 against Sunrisers with the visitors getting home with nine balls to spare. There have been only 12 night matches played there in IPL in the last three years. The run rate confirms what we have already seen with a mark of 9.84. The gamble may well focus on Delhi's performance against RCB being dismissed as the outlier it surely was. As a result their runs total for the match at 188.5 could look cheap on a flat one.
The major trend is for a chase bias. Nine of the 12 have been won by the team batting second. The run rate batting second is a massive 10.04. This should inform the match odds strategy.
Rajasthan are 1.738/11. There is an argument that they should be shorter as there is a clear gap now between the top four and the rest. But Royals are probably fairly priced given 1.608/13 is the realm of the really crack sides. And in this tournament we expect those numbers to be reserved for Punjab and RCB as they continue to assert dominance.
There is a way to play Royals here, though, at slightly better odds. It would require Delhi batting first and then us (and Royals) leveraging that hefty toss bias. We could well get close to even money on the Exchange by the break if Delhi were able to hit that 9.8 run rate.
As stated, the collapse against RCB is probably an anomaly and there should be enough in the visiting batting to make this competitive so we can act.
Back Royals in-play batting second
The consistency of Sooryavanshi is remarkable. In his nine IPL innings this season he has busted his runs line seven times. He has recorded one ton and four scores of 40-99. It is extraordinary that the rules of failure appear to apply less to a 15-year-old. When will he hit one straight up in the air? Why can't teams outsmart him? Delhi may have plans and before their recent implosion they were one of the best in the bowling powerplay. If Ngidi is fit, he may well have the variations to get the wunderkind cheaply this time. Sportsbook offer 5/61.84 that he faces fewer than 14.5 delivers. It's a wiser bet that runs because he could need a fraction of that to bust his mark of 26.5