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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">India v New Zealand World Cup Tips: Kiwis are a value bet to pull off shock win</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/ed-hawkins/">Ed Hawkins</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-11-14">14 November 2023</time></li> <li>2:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "India v New Zealand World Cup Tips: Kiwis are a value bet to pull off shock win", "name": "India v New Zealand World Cup Tips: Kiwis are a value bet to pull off shock win", "description": "Our cricket tipster Ed Hawkins is in profit by almost 12 points at the 2023 World Cup and he is shooting for the stars by predicting the mother of all upsets...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/cricket/cricket-world-cup/india-v-new-zealand-world-cup-semi-final-tips-kiwi-small-value-for-big-shock-141123-194.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/cricket/cricket-world-cup/india-v-new-zealand-world-cup-semi-final-tips-kiwi-small-value-for-big-shock-141123-194.html", "datePublished": "2023-11-14T10:26:00+00:00", "dateModified": "2023-11-15T10:24:00+00:00", "articleBody": "Our cricket tipster Ed Hawkins is in profit by almost 12 points at the 2023 World Cup and he is shooting for the stars by predicting the mother of all upsets in Mumbai on Wednesday India could be surprised by Kiwi fight Wankhede is good for batters Kohli boosted to [16/5] Find out about Betfair's Safer Gambling tools India v New ZealandWednesday 15 November, 08:30TV: Live on Sky Sports India v New Zealand World Cup semi-final team news India are unbeaten but it's forgotten that they are not perfectly balanced following the loss of all-rounder Hardik Pandya. Mohammad Shami at No 8 and only five bowlers isn't ideal. Hence them desperately trying to audition a sixth option against the Netherlands. Probable XI: Rohit, Gill, Kohli, Shreyas, Rahul, Yadav, Jadeja, Shami, Kuldeep, Bumrah, Siraj New Zealand are patched-up somewhat. Kane Williamson looks pretty close to full fitness, Tim Southee has recovered from a finger fracture and Lockie Ferguson has had a niggle. Key pacer Matt Henry has returned home. They may well be reliant on a big performance from a Wiliamson or Trent Boult. Probable XI: Conway, Ravindra, Williamson, Mitchell, Phillips, Latham, Chapman, Santner, Southee, Ferguson, Boult India v New Zealand World Cup semi-final pitch report The Wankhede looks like a very flat surface. More than 350 has been busted in three out of four. And the odd one out was a mighty effort of 291 by Afghanistan against Australia. We expect runs first up. Taking on the Kiwi par line for 290-300 or more could be a solid option. We also expect death-over runs. Adding 120, 130 and 140 to the runs lines in the last ten is fair for India. India v New Zealand World Cup semi-final match odds Are New Zealand the side which has given India the biggest scare? Probably. In Dharamsala the Kiwis were poised for more than 300 before they were squeezed by Mohammad Shami and Jasprit Bumrah. If they bat first they have the talent and the tools to breach such a score. Then it will be all about getting the ball to zip under lights. Their Betfair Exchange odds could offer a trade from [3.7]. But we'll simply have a small stake that they cause the mother of all shocks. We've mentioned India's balance and there is sonething perturbing about their stroll to the semis. Where's the jeopardy, the pressure, the requirement to think on their feet? When all that is cranked up, how do they react? Perhaps they go into overdrive and recall the four straight wins against the Kiwis in India this year. We shall see but there's a hint of value on the visitors. Back New Zealand @ [3.70] Bet now India v New Zealand World Cup semi-final player bets Virat Kohli is boosted to 16/5 by Sportsbook for top India bat but it's wrong price by only 0.5% on win rate. Rohit Sharma gives us 4.5% at [3/1] and Shubman Gill 4.5 (a double against New Zealand this year) at [7/2]. For the Kiwis Devon Conway's boost to [7/2] gives us a shade under 4% points on two-year win rate. With the ball, Trent Boult and Mohammad Shami have strong head-to-heads. Boult returns 54% of the time and is [11/4]. Shami gets a [3/1] quote. Now read Ed's semi-final verdict on each team here ", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/Rohit Sharma ODI close up 1280.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/Rohit Sharma ODI close up 1280.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/Rohit Sharma ODI close up 1280.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Ed Hawkins", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/ed_hawkins" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/Rohit Sharma ODI close up 1280.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/Rohit Sharma ODI close up 1280.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/Rohit Sharma ODI close up 1280.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/Rohit Sharma ODI close up 1280.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Rohit Sharma"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Rohit is boosted to [3/1]</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977215">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.221020562" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.221020562">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=India%20v%20New%20Zealand%20World%20Cup%20Tips%3A%20Kiwis%20are%20a%20value%20bet%20to%20pull%20off%20shock%20win&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fcricket%2Fcricket-world-cup%2Findia-v-new-zealand-world-cup-semi-final-tips-kiwi-small-value-for-big-shock-141123-194.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span 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by almost 12 points at the 2023 World Cup and he is shooting for the stars by predicting the mother of all upsets in Mumbai on Wednesday</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.221020562">India could be surprised by Kiwi fight</a></h3> </li> <li> <h3>Wankhede is good for batters</h3> </li> <li> <h3><a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D49883565%26bsmId%3D924.383360411">Kohli boosted to <b class="inline_odds" title="4.20"><span class="inline_odds__main">16/5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4.20</span></b> </a></h3> </li> <li> <h3><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/how-to-use-betfair-exchange/beginner-guides/safer-gambling-on-betfair-tools-to-help-091120-204.html">Find out about Betfair's Safer Gambling tools</a></h3> </li> <hr><p><strong><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.221020562">India v New Zealand</a><br>Wednesday 15 November, 08:30<br>TV: Live on Sky Sports</strong></p><h2>India v New Zealand World Cup semi-final team news</h2><p>India are unbeaten but it's forgotten that they are not perfectly balanced following the loss of all-rounder Hardik Pandya. Mohammad Shami at No 8 and only five bowlers isn't ideal. Hence them desperately trying to audition a sixth option against the Netherlands.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Probable XI: </strong>Rohit, Gill, Kohli, Shreyas, Rahul, Yadav, Jadeja, Shami, Kuldeep, Bumrah, Siraj</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">New Zealand are patched-up somewhat. Kane Williamson looks pretty close to full fitness, Tim Southee has recovered from a finger fracture and Lockie Ferguson has had a niggle. Key pacer Matt Henry has returned home. They may well be reliant on a big performance from a Wiliamson or Trent Boult.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Probable XI: </strong>Conway, Ravindra, Williamson, Mitchell, Phillips, Latham, Chapman, Santner, Southee, Ferguson, Boult</p><h2>India v New Zealand World Cup semi-final pitch report</h2><p style="font-weight: 400;">The Wankhede looks like a very flat surface. More than 350 has been busted in three out of four. And the odd one out was a mighty effort of 291 by Afghanistan against Australia. We expect runs first up. <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.221020577">Taking on the Kiwi par line for 290-300 or more </a>could be a solid option. <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.221020579">We also expect death-over runs. Adding 120, 130 and 140 to the runs lines in the last ten is fair for India</a>.</p><h2>India v New Zealand World Cup semi-final match odds</h2><p style="font-weight: 400;">Are New Zealand the side which has given India the biggest scare? Probably. In Dharamsala the Kiwis were poised for more than 300 before they were squeezed by Mohammad Shami and Jasprit Bumrah.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">If they bat first they have the talent and the tools to breach such a score. Then it will be all about getting the ball to zip under lights.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;"><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.221020562">Their Betfair Exchange odds could offer a trade from <b class="inline_odds" title="11/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.7</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">11/4</span></b>.</a> But we'll simply have a small stake that they cause the mother of all shocks.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">We've mentioned India's balance and there is sonething perturbing about their stroll to the semis. Where's the jeopardy, the pressure, the requirement to think on their feet? When all that is cranked up, how do they react?</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">Perhaps they go into overdrive and recall the four straight wins against the Kiwis in India this year. We shall see but there's a hint of value on the visitors.</p><div class="bet_promo_banner"> <p>Back New Zealand @ <b class="inline_odds" title="11/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.70</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">11/4</span></b></p> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.221020562" class="bet_promo_banner__link" rel="noopener">Bet now</a></div><h2>India v New Zealand World Cup semi-final player bets</h2><p style="font-weight: 400;"><a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D49883565%26bsmId%3D924.383360411"><strong>Virat Kohli</strong> is boosted to 16/5</a> by Sportsbook for top India bat but it's wrong price by only 0.5% on win rate.<a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D2514417%26bsmId%3D924.383301234"> Rohit Sharma gives us 4.5% at <b class="inline_odds" title="4.00"><span class="inline_odds__main">3/1</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4.00</span></b></a> and <a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D13878962%26bsmId%3D924.383301234">Shubman Gill 4.5 (a double against New Zealand this year) at <b class="inline_odds" title="4.50"><span class="inline_odds__main">7/2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4.50</span></b>. </a></p><p style="font-weight: 400;">For the Kiwis <a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D49200507%26bsmId%3D924.383360411"><strong>Devon Conway's boost to <b class="inline_odds" title="4.50"><span class="inline_odds__main">7/2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4.50</span></b></strong> </a>gives us a shade under 4% points on two-year win rate.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">With the ball, Trent Boult and Mohammad Shami have strong head-to-heads. <a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D5991225%26bsmId%3D924.383301235">Boult returns 54% of the time and is <b class="inline_odds" title="3.75"><span class="inline_odds__main">11/4</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">3.75</span></b></a>. <a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D7452454%26bsmId%3D924.383301238">Shami gets a <b class="inline_odds" title="4.00"><span class="inline_odds__main">3/1</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4.00</span></b> quote</a>.</p><hr><h3 style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Now read Ed's semi-final verdict on each team <a href="https://betting.betfair.com/cricket/cricket-world-cup/world-cup-tips-how-the-semi-final-teams-stack-up-121123-194.html">here</a></strong></h3><hr><p></p><p></p></ul> </div> </div> <div class="recommended_bets betslip_goto no_banners" data-banner_cta="Join"> <h3>Recommended bets</h3> <div class="editor editor--reversed"> <p><a href="<p><a%20href="></a><a href="<p><a%20href=" https:>(0.25pts) Back New Zealand <b class="inline_odds" title="11/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.70</span><span 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