West Indies v New Zealand
Friday 19 August, 19:00
TV: Live on BT Sports
West Indies had an inauspicious start to the series before a ball had been bowled. They lost Shimron Hetmyer, Keemo Paul and Gudakesh Motie to personal reasons and injuries. Yet they showed admirable guts to go 1-0 up.
It was a most surprising success because the bowlers did the work. A previously profligate line-up pinned the Kiwis to just 190. Akeal Hosein and Alzarri Joseph took three wickets apiece. They used only five bowlers but Kyle Mayers gives a sixth option if required.
They chased with relative ease thanks to Shamarh Brooks' half-century. Keacy Carty has replaced Brandon King in the middle order. Jermaine Blackwood came in for Hetmyer.
Possible XI: Hope, Mayers, Brooks, Carty, Pooran, Blackwood, Holder, Sinclair, Hosein, Joseph, Cariah
New Zealand surprisingly left out Glenn Philips after a dominant show with the bat in the T20. They missed his reliability in the middle-order.
The Kiwis are unlikely to panic. Six of their batters got starts but none went on and took responsibility.
It is a slight concern that they have only five bowlers. Daryll Mitchell could be asked to fill in as the sixth. Jimmy Neesham could solve that.
Possible XI: Guptill, Allen, Williamson, Conway, Latham, Mitchell, Bracewell, Santner, Southee, Ferguson, Boult
The Bridgetown surface could be blamed for New Zealand;'s low total. That's now six out of the last six first innings which produced scores of under 253. And four of those were under 200. If New Zealand get the chance to bowl first we might take on a weaker home line-up and go under 260 or 270. Bet the runs here.
How to play
With the wicket likely to be a leveller again, there's nothing wrong with planning a trade on West Indies at 3.002/1. If they bowl first, they have the chance to keep New Zealand down again.
We will plan for them coming close to even money. Having snapped a nine-game losing streak we will trade out as they are not the most trustworthy. Bet the match odds here.
Shai Hope has been boosted to 7/2 for top Windies bat with Sportsbook. he has five wins in 24 so we need 4s. Brooks has five wins in 19 and is 7/2. Akeal looks chunky at 4/1 for most Windies wickets. It's a straight fight between him and 3/1 jolly Joseph on the data.
For New Zealand, Mitchell looks far too good a player to be priced at 10/1 so a case can be made for him with the top order unlikely to be able to hit with freedom. Bet the Sportsbook markets here.