London Spirit v Manchester Originals
Friday 2 September, 18:30
TV: Live on Sky Sports
Spirit have lost the services of Kieron Pollard but gained Zak Crawley. It's not a great trade considering Crawley's tortured 20 from 29 balls against Phoenix last time out. Ravi Bopara has come into the XI.
Probable XI: Rossington, Crawley, McDermott, Morgan, Lawrence, Bopara, Thompson, Dawson, Ellis, Wheal, Crane
Originals have been completely unbothered about losing captain and opener Jos Buttler, Andre Russell and Aussie Sean Abbott. The latter's replacement, Ireland's Josh Little, won man of the match in the 'quarter-final' success over Invincibles.
Possible XI: Salt, Evans, Madsen, Stubbs, Turner, Walter, Lammonby, Hartley, Gleeson, Parkinson, Little
First-innings scores in Southampton this term read: 138-188-147-107. It is not one to go overs on with confidence, particularly if Spirit bat first. They defended the 147 against Brave. Originals notched the 188. That rather sums up neatly the sides' strengths.
Spirit have a run rate of 7.4 and Originals 8.1 with the bat and the split is 7.1 and 7.2 respectively with the ball. Bet the runs line here with under Spirit at 150 a potential lay at 2.206/5.
How to play
These two sides are in contrasting form. Spirit have lost three of their last four. Originals have won five in a row. On that basis - and the numbers above - Originals deserve more respect at 2.186/5. Spirit's favouritism at 1.834/5 may only be justified by this being a 'home' game for the Hampshire-heavy bowling attack and a win on the head-to-head right at the start of the tournament. Bet the match odds here. Originals were our pre-series back-to-lay pick at 8.207/1 and we'll keep it live.
Phil Salt is boosted to 11/4 for top Originals bat. Ben McDermott has been boosted to 3/1 for Spirit. Eoin Morgan is potentially eyecatching at 5/1. Dan Lawrence may be the only rick at 7s as he could well bat at No 4. Bet the Sportsbook markets here.
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