Australia v England Third T20 Tips: Inglis worth an interest at 11/1

• England surprisingly big for 3-0
• Buttler boosted to 13/5 for top England bat

Australia v England
Friday 14 October, 09:10
TV: Live on BT Sports

Team news

Australia, favourites for the World Cup and holders, have had their wings clipped by England. They are 2-0 down and the series is lost.

It will be interesting to see how that focuses their minds. They don't like to admit it but the Aussies hold England up as the barometer in this format.

They have, at least, cut the chord with Steve Smith. They just need Glenn Maxwell to get quick runs to not go backwards. Josh Hazlewood, Pat Cummins and Mitchell Starc returned in Geelong and were pricey. Cummins' bowling has been an issue for a while but he's probably undroppable.

Australia must consider whether to give a run out to the likes of Josh Inglis and Ashton Agar who have been kept on the sidelines.

Probable XI: Warner, Finch, M Marsh, Maxwell, Stoinis, David, Wade, Cummins, Starc, Zampa, Hazlewood

England will be delighted with their work. They have settled on their opening partnership, Dawid Malan has reinforced his claim on the No 3 spot and the bowling attack picks itself.

Sam Curran looks to have wrestled death duties from Chris Jordan alongside Reece Topley and Mark Wood can be used as an enforcer in the middle overs. Wood, being carefully managed, may sit this one out again.

The only issue is Ben Stokes, who has produced two dreadful innings. Most franchise followers will know Stokes is not a T20 player and shouldn't really be in the squad. But Liam Livingstone is still not fit and is the only player who can displace him.

Probable XI: Buttler, Hales, Malan, Stokes, Brook, Moeen, S Curran, Woakes, Jordan, Rashid, Topley

Pitch report

The Canberra surface looked a little slow for the second match and although we enjoyed an overs win on runs, it was a bit too close to call. Another 40 overs - likely on the same surface - may not assist in rungetting. Australia were skinny favourites the break in a chase of 178 and it was noticeable how they struggled. It might pay to go unders this time on the par line.

How to play

Australia are 1.834/5 and England 2.186/5. Go figure. Before game two this was a choice affair. England, then, are underrated for some reason.

There is a toss bias historically, although it didn't do much good for Australia. Only eight from 19 have been won by the side batting first so it will be interesting to see what happens at the toss.

Presumably Australia's first-choice attack is reckoned to be better for the run but we expect England to at least flip the odds. Bet the match odds here.

Tops value

Inglis is not expected to play but if he does he is likely to open. So Sportsbook's 11/1 is worth an interest for top Aussie bat. Jos Buttler has been boosted to 13/5. David Warner is also upped and goes off at 11/4. Dawid Malan is cut back to 7/2 and Stokes pushed out to 6/1.

Curran, who should have been man of the match for his bowling performance, is 16/5 for top England bowler and 17s for the match gong.