Big Bash

Melbourne Renegades v Melbourne Stars Big Bash Tips: Back to the Wells with 7/1 bet

Aaron Finch
Finch plays his last game

Ed Hawkins finds a top-bat price worthy of a follow for the Melbourne derby at Marvel Stadium on Saturday...


Melbourne Renegades v Melbourne Stars
Saturday 13 January, 08.30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Melbourne Renegades v Melbourne Stars team news

Scott Edwards, the Dutch skipper, and Akeal Hosein come into a squad on holidays with two games to go. Aaron Finch plays his last game with the franchise keen to make it all about him. He could well open.

Possible XI: S Marsh, Finch, Fraser-McGurk, Cox, Wells, Sutherland, Akeal, Rogers, O'Neill, Zampa, Siddle

Stars cannot make the top two but if they win their remaining games they will qualify for the play-offs. Peter Handscomb has joined as wicketkeeper after Sam Harper's injury.

Probable XI: Rogers, Lawrence, Webster, Maxwell, Stoinis, Cartwright, Imad, Handscomb, Coulter-Nile, Boland, Paris

Melbourne Renegades v Melbourne Stars pitch report

At the Marvel 13 sides batting first have busted 160 or more from the last 24. Eleven sides have won batting first. Renegades could muster only 149 against Hobart last time. Stars have conceded at 8.8 an over, though, so we're not rushing to short a low par line at 156.5.

Melbourne Renegades v Melbourne Stars match odds

Renegades are 2.447/5 with Stars 1.684/6. The latter is one of the shortest prices we've seen for a while.

That's not to say it's wrong. Stars were on a great run of four straight wins before Sixers taught them a lesson. We expect Stars to win but there have been more reliable teams (Sixers and Heat) available at better prices recently so we're swerving.

Melbourne Renegades v Melbourne Stars player bets

If we're right about Finch opening Sportsbook's 11/26.50 will feel big. But we like to return to reliability here and Jono Wells looks chunky at 7/18.00 being the key man in the middle order. For Stars, Glenn Maxwell is 11/43.75 for top Stars bat. That's not value but the 5/16.00 about man of the match will have appeal.

Back Jono Wells top Renegades bat @ 7/18.00

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Ed Hawkins P-L

2024: +2.77
2023: +77.75
2022:+16.79
2021: +29.41pts
2020: +5.91pts
2019: +37.25pts
2018: +23.53pts
2017: +12pts
2016: +18.1pts
2015: +38pts
2014: +31.5pts
2013: +25pt

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