Tips Summary
Please Note: Prices quoted in table below were correct at time of each writer/tipster's column being published on Betting.Betfair.
| Race |
Tipster |
Tip |
Odds |
| 14:30 Ascot |
Sam Turner |
Double Charm E/W |
100/1101.00 |
| 15:05 Ascot |
Timeform |
Venetian Sun |
6/52.20 |
| 15:40 Ascot |
Sam Turner |
Mondo Man E/W |
8/19.00 |
| 16:20 Ascot |
Alan Dudman |
True Love |
11/43.75 |
| 17:00 Ascot |
Sam Turner |
Spinning Around E/W |
20/121.00 |
| 17:35 Ascot |
Mark Milligan |
Causeway |
2/13.00 |
| 18:10 Ascot |
Mark Milligan |
Bacio E/W |
10/111.00 |
Friday Horse Racing Tips and Insight
Given that Ballydoyle have proved nearly impossible to resist in the juvenile races at this meeting, the well-backed and touted Sun Goddess is likely to take a great deal of beating in this day four opener.
She clearly has quality and class in abundance, but all of the fancy prices have disappeared quicker than Thomas Tuchel's critics so I would rather take a chance at a huge price on a filly that could prove a little better than her odds suggest.
Step forward Dubai Charm who found herself stuck in the mud at Yarmouth last time behind impressive debutante Silent Beauty who justified some sizeable support to score well for the Amo operation.
The selection has six lengths to make up, but the switch to a faster surface should help her close that gap and the price differential between the duo might be too wide, especially as Richard Hughes' filly also posted a strong speed figure on her debut behind King's Prize at Nottingham.
I can't resist a modest each-way bet at her enormous odds and we saw a similar type in Crownbreaker bounce back from a seemingly below-par run on soft ground in the Queen Mary earlier this week.
Back Dubai Charm each-way in 14.30 at Ascot
Some massive fields and short-priced favourites hardly make for a punter-friendly card on Friday, but Venetian Sun stands out in the Timeform weight-adjusted ratings in the Commonwealth Cup.
Karl Burke's filly found the trip too far in the 1000 Guineas but maintained her unbeaten record back at six furlongs with a most impressive win in the Sandy Lane Stakes at Haydock last time, earning the Horse In Focus flag.
Sprinting looked her game at two, when her wins included the Albany Stakes on this day last year, and the Prix Morny when beating future Irish 2000 Guineas winner Gstaad, and she's very much the one to beat.
Back Venetian Sun in the 15:05 Royal Ascot
Having finished eight lengths behind Calandagan here in the King Edward VII Stakes a couple of years ago, Mondo Man catches the eye contesting his first handicap on the level.
The Mondialiste gelding exploited a nice mark over hurdles to win the Imperial Cup back in March and has been freshened up since disappointing in the Sussex Champion Hurdle which looked a little like an afterthought following his Sandown heroics.
The booking of Christophe Soumillon looks a statement of intent by a shrewd operation and Mondo Man should relish the rigours of this race.
Back Mondo Man each-way in 15.40 at Ascot
With round two in store, I favour True Love as the way she finished off the Guineas at Newmarket with that electric burst at the sixth furlong sways me over Precise and with barely a pound between them, the 11/43.75 True Love price has to be taken in what essentially looks a match.
Back True Love in 16:20 Royal Ascot
The theme of this week has been that if one O'Brien doesn't get you, then another one might.
That could again be the case here with Spinning Around who responded positively to the first-time tongue tie at the Curragh last time and might make a bold bid to lift this for Donnacha O'Brien.
Given her breeding, the daughter of Australia has been doing well to win over as short as seven furlongs and she beat my other selection, Green Carrera, with a little in hand when the pair met early last month.
O'Brien immediately nominated the Sandringham as a potential target and stretching out to a mile could well bring about further improvement.
Back Spinning Around each-way in 17.00 at Ascot
Water To Wine definitely falls into the 'could be anything' category but he's light on experience for a test such as this and I just wonder if the more battle-hardened Causeway may have his measure on this occasion.
Aidan O'Brien's colt was beaten on debut but has won all four of his starts since, the latest when taking the Group 3 Gallinule Stakes over 1m 2f at the Curragh, showing good battling qualities as he narrowly defeated Zia Zabel.
He looks the type to continue raising his game as he goes through the grades and should have no issue stepping up to 1m 4f for the first time.
Back Causeway to win 17:00 Royal Ascot
The final race of the day plunges us back into fiendishly difficult handicap territory and cases can be made for plenty in the wide-open sprint for three-year-olds.
I'm not getting too hung up on the draw and suspect it may be a case of being where the pace is that offers the best chance of winning. That seems to be primarily with the high numbers here, for all a couple of prominent types are in the lower stalls.
They'll all have to go some to match the early pace of the USA raider Bacio, though, who has speed to burn, as you'd expect for one trained by Wesley Ward. There's a bit of substance to his American form too, having won three of his four starts, and the handicapper may have misjudged him a little by letting him into this from a mark of 100.
He could well be a Group-class turf sprinter in time, and he's got no better jockey to utilise his early pace than Juan Hernandez, who is one of the best speed riders in North America.
Again, we have six places available on the Sportsbook, which makes Bacio a tempting each-way play at 14/115.00.
Back Bacio E/W, six places, in 18:10 Royal Ascot