Today's Horse Racing Tips: Coltrane may take some stopping in the Cesarewitch

Big Field race
34 runners go to post in the Cesarewitch

Alan Thompson has a win and an each-way selection from the always competitive Cesarewitch as well as a couple to look out for at York...

"The way Andrew Balding's Coltrane won at York last time out has to mean he's a group horse in the making."

Back Coltrane @ 8/1 and Mr Chua @ 50/1 each-way in the 15:35 Newmarket

Mr Chua could run a big race at a big price

Back Coltrane @ 8/1 and Mr Chua each-way @ 50/1 in the 15:35 Newmarket

Just the 34 going to post for this year's Cesarewitch but with Betfair Sportsbook paying six places it has to be worth having a look at. There are two I like the look of in the race at different ends of the market. The way Andrew Balding's Coltrane won at York last time could mean he's a group horse in the making. He travelled so well that day in similar ground, showing a good deal of pace to grab the long time leader and stayed on well to win by four lengths, being value for a lot more.

He's gone up 11lb for that win and although the second let the form down next time out I still think there's more improvement to come and that he could well be a 110+ horse sooner rather than later. A strongly run race clearly suits and the way he stayed on last time strongly suggests to me that this step-up in trip should really suit also. He should really take a lot of beating with Oisin Murphy in the saddle and he has to be backed win only at 8/1.

The other horse I like is a big price and that is Michael Scudamore's charge Mr Chua. He's got no weight whatsoever and is used to carrying big weights. Indeed last time he carried 10-3 when beaten by Trumpet Man who has won really well since, the time before that he carried 9-12 , and 9-8 and 10-0 the two times before that run. He will feel like he's been let loose and he should stay this trip well, especially in light of the low weight he has to carry. Throw in that his form last time has taken a serious boost and that he's still very lightly raced then I think he's been well overlooked and he could run a massive race at around 50/1

Aplomb looking to go back-to-back

Back Aplomb each-way @ 16/1 in the 15:10 York

Aplomb looks a big price given how he won last time at Ripon. He runs in the 15:10 York and having only just got on top close home last time in a small field race I think this bigger and more competitive field should see him run a massive race and given he's from the Wiliam Haggas stable, I'm surprised to see him available at such a big price (16/1). Came From The Dark, Laugh A Minute and Tranchee are three I think can give him most to do.

28/1 looks a big price for Hareem Queen

Back Hareem Queen each way @ 28/1 in the 13:00 York

A final one I wanted to mention was Hareem Queen for Karl Burke in the 13:00 York is another that looks a big price but I think she can run a big race in this re-arranged Bengough Stakes from Ascot's abandoned card last weekend. She's won at Southwell so should go well in this ground and she's fresher than most in this race and at this time of year that is a big bonus. She's worth a small each-way bet at 28/1 if all eight make it to post.

2020 (prior to this week) : -1.06 pts

This week so far...

Staked: 9 Pts
Returned: 11 pts

2020 P&L +0.94 pts
2019 P&L +0.31 pts
2018 P&L +82.29 pts
2017 P&L +53.30 pts
2016 P&L +15.23 pts

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