Horse Racing Tips: Rhys Williams likes two outsiders at Clonmel and Leicester

Clonmel
Our racing expert has two selections on Thursday

Rhys Williams has had three profitable days in a row and looks to make it four with two big-priced selections at Clonmel and Leicester...

"He was racing against far stronger company that day and had run well until that mistake and a repeat of those tactics would be a positive for his chance today."

More promise than result suggests in all three starts

Clonmel 12:30: Uncle Gerhard 0.5pt e/w 66/1

The eligibility criteria for this maiden hurdle has created a weak contest and I think there's one horse at a huge price who could be capable of being competitive given the promise he's shown.

Uncle Gerhard made his debut in a bumper at Killarney in May. He raced a shade keenly early on in mid division and he was still travelling well in eighth leaving the back straight before being hampered and shuffled back and wide on the final bend. He was starting to recover a little when he was badly tightening up for room and dropped away after that.

He made his hurdling debut at Punchestown three weeks later and showed a bit of promise. He was travelling well towards the head of the chasing pack approaching the last hurdle in the back straight where he made a mistake. He made minor headway after that to go into a share of sixth after 3 out but could never get anywhere near the leaders and dropped away in the home straight.

He was ridden far handier on his latest start at Gowran twelve days ago. Having raced extremely wide on the track and a bit keenly early on, he jumped his way into a prominent position and was second with a circuit to go. He continued to race close up until diving at 3 out, landing awkwardly and appearing to lose his footing on a couple of occasions shortly after the hurdle. He quickly lost his position after that and finished ninth.

Given how swiftly he dropped back, I wouldn't be surprised if Uncle Gerhard did something to himself with that mistake at 3 out. He was racing against far stronger company that day and had run well until that mistake and a repeat of those tactics would be a positive for his chance today.

It might be that he's just a very weak finisher as he stopped quickly on his debut in a bumper too but the way he's travelled in races suggests that he may have enough ability to run well in a very weak contest and any 33/1 or bigger appeals.

Looked in need of sharper test in points

Leicester 14:37: Bold Princess 0.5pt e/w 100/1

Mel Rowley has already had one horse who was pulled up in both starts in points run well this week and I'm hoping that Bold Princess can be another for her.

Unlike Tikitov, Bold Princess started her career in Ireland with Warren Ewing and she made her debut at Loughanmore. She travelled strongly for a long way that day, despite making some mistakes, and was in a share of the lead at 3 out. However, she had been headed when making a very bad mistake at 2 out and had nothing left soon after and was pulled up. The winner of that race was The Mean Queen who has gone on to great success in America.

Bold Princess made the running from the off on her second start at Borris House but after being headed approaching 3 out, she quickly lost her position and was pulled up before 2 out.

The way that she travelled on debut suggests that she has ability and both runs suggested that Bold Princess was in need of a sharper test so the drop back to 2m4½f will at least be more suitable. She also raced a bit keenly so the hood going on for the first time today should help.

It may be that she needs a further step back to 2m to show her best, as is the case with her half-brother Demopolis, or that she is just a very weak finisher but given the potential for improvement I can't let her go unbacked at such a big price and any 50/1 or bigger appeals.

RHYS’ PROFIT/LOSS 2021

Staked: 430.50pts
Returned: 576.14pts
P/L: +145.64pts

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