Bailey to take the opener with mare
13:45 Plumpton - Back Hollymount Holly
Monday is an extremely tricky punting day, and there's the matter of the changing ground at Plumpton too.
Today's first bet is Kim Bailey's Hollymount Holly in a weak mares' novice. She can be excused for disappointing last time at Wetherby due to the fact it was her first run for 296 days. She was beaten a long way out so we have to put a line through that effort.
I give her chance today on her Hereford bumper win by five lengths and a solid second at Wincanton. She was up with the pace for the latter and there was a big gap to the third.
Acceptance can bounce back
14:18 Plumpton - Back Special Acceptance
Only three runners line up in the 14:18 and I am far from convinced about favourite Faustinovik - who can be ponderous jumping and has had plenty of chances to win a race.
I prefer Special Acceptance judged on his Sussex National run. I backed the third in that race behind Paul Webber's charge and he put up a terrific effort over the marathon trip from 118.
He stays well and acts on better ground, and can bounce back in a small field following a below par run in the Devon National.