Alan Dudman's two selections at Southwell both finished second yesterday at 10.0 and 4.0, and he is sticking with the all-weather for his Saturday evening picks...
"They went a good gallop and he finished off strongly to win off 58. The fact he stayed so well is good news for Kempton as the track is riding slow these days."
Order to come first for Charlie
Second-itis struck yet again yesterday with both selections running well, especially old Archimedes. He bumped into a horse that hadn't won for two years. It seemed everyone else had the same view as me with the place lay on the Fibresand of Song Of Beauty - who was 13/2 on the Sportsbook. And went out to 90.0 from 28 a couple of minutes before the off.
Away from all of the jumping action on Saturday, there's a rather interesting Novice event over 1m4f at Kempton. Interesting from a pedigree point of view certainly with the Charlie Appleby newcomer First Order.
He's by Dubawi out of the great Godolphin mare Punctilious, and with headgear on for his debut, Appleby is very much a trainer with good stats on that front. Dubawi horses do very well at Kempton too with a strike-rate at a healthy 17%.
John Gosden has three in the race, and one is the favourite Stiletto, who is only rated 76 and has had three runs and steps up in trip. These are potential laying factors if he is around 2/1, as the trainer also has Law Of The Sea - who is bred to improve for the 1m4f trip being by Golden Horn. That sire has an 11% win rate at the track.
And whilst it's a rarity backing newcomers, First Order wouldn't have to be a world-beater to take this.
No Diggity to come through the pack under Hollie
Nick Littmoden's No Diggity didn't have the ideal set-up last time at Wolverhampton, but I give him another chance to improve on that recent second place.
It was a messy affair off a steady gallop, and the selection blew the start too - which is becoming of a party trick for the horse and not something you can afford to do at the Midlands venue. But he's been running well in his last few starts.
Indeed, he popped up to win at Wolverhampton in November, and the pace set-up there was much more to his liking. They went a good gallop and he finished off strongly to win off 58. The fact he stayed so well is good news for Kempton as the track is riding slow these days.
He's drawn in two with Hollie Doyle on board, and may be worth asking for a higher price in the run with an order bigger than 4.57/2 with a slow beginning.
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Alan Dudman's P&L
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