Rhys Williams struck with a 2pt selection yesterday and has three selections today at Doncaster, Sandown and Salisbury.
"Both of those runs and her run over six furlongs, which she found too sharp, at Chepstow have suggested that Global Acclaim is open to more improvement"
Can bounce back on return to quicker ground
Trueshan being taken out of the Doncaster Cup makes life much easier for Stradivarius. Rather than take him on, I think the more appealing betting option in this race comes in the without the favourite market where the market has currently sided with the improving Rodrigo Diaz.
He was given plenty to do when finishing second to Scaramanga off 90 two starts ago and ran well when second to Hukum in the Geoffrey Freer last time but I'm not convinced that he wants this much of a test of stamina and I think there's too much between him and Nayef Road in this market.
Nayef Road has often run poorly this season but I think the ground was against him and Goodwood and Sandown so those can be excused.
In between those runs, he ran better than the margin beaten suggests in the Ascot Gold Cup. He was starting to make headway when he got stuck in behind the struggling Twilight Payment around half a mile out and only got a clear run entering the home straight. He briefly moved into second with just over two furlongs to go but had little left in the final furlong and finished sixth.
His first start of the season at Ascot when beaten 1½ lengths by Stradivarius was another good performance and both of those came on good to firm ground which he's likely to get today with the rain forecast to come after this race.
Nayef Road has chucked in the occasional shocker for apparently no reason and it might be that he's just not quite at his best at the moment but I think a return to this ground gives him a chance to show his true ability and he should get a good trip tracking The Grand Visir. Any 5/2 or bigger appeals in the without the favourite market.
Stiff seven furlongs could be her ideal test
Global Acclaim has been in stronger company on her last two starts at Racing League fixtures and has run well on both occasions.
Over seven furlongs at Doncaster, she raced in midfield before starting to make headway with three furlongs to go. She came under stronger pressure two furlongs out and responded well but couldn't ever quite challenge Foxtrot Sizzler and was beaten a length in second. The winner and third have both run well in defeat since and the fifth and seventh have both won since.
She was stepped up to a mile for her latest start at Windsor and ran better than the result suggests having met trouble late on. She tracked the leaders on the inside rail from the off before being angled out to try to get a run with just over two furlongs to go. However, her path was blocked at every attempt to get room and she finished eighth.
Both of those runs and her run over six furlongs, which she found too sharp, at Chepstow have suggested that Global Acclaim is open to more improvement and I think the stiff seven furlongs today could be ideal for her given how well she finished at Doncaster.
There is a slight concern that there's not much pace in this race which could result in it not being as much of a test of stamina as she would like but hopefully John Fahy will be aware of that and will look to have her racing prominently again. It's also an unknown what impact the addition of a tongue tie will have as there's not been anything in the stewards' reports to suggest that she might be in need of one.
However, despite these concerns I think the market has significantly underestimated her chance in a race where none of the opposition look particularly well handicapped and any 5/1 or bigger appeals.
Wind op to bring improvement
Rooful has been beaten twelve lengths and more in her four starts so far but on all three starts this season, which have all been over today's C&D, she has shaped better than the margin beaten suggests.
On her first start of the season, she tracked the leaders from an early stage and was nudged along to move into third with two furlongs to go before edging right under pressure and dropping away quickly to finish eighteen lengths behind the winner in sixth.
She was ridden a bit more patiently early on two starts ago before being pushed along with three furlongs to go. Having been switched to race on the near side, she chased the leading trio there before having nothing left with a furlong to go and she was beaten twelve lengths.
On her latest start, Rooful raced a shade keenly behind the leaders early on and she made headway travelling well with three furlongs to go. She was pushed along with two furlongs to go and stayed in the group chasing the leading pair until dropping away quickly from just over a furlong out.
Rooful has had a wind op since her last run and it could be that an issue with her wind has been the cause of her finishing so weakly in the past. If that is the case then she has the potential to take a big step forward today as the way she's been travelling in her races against better quality opposition than she faces today suggests that she could be better than her rating of 48.
It might be that she wants a drop back in trip or that the wind op will have no impact and she will finish weakly again but given her potential for improvement, any 10/1 or bigger appeals.
RHYS' PROFIT/LOSS 2021
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