Horse Racing Tips: Rhys Williams' NAP is maiden sprinter at Brighton

• Ended up too wide on the bend last time

• Stiff finish should be no issue

• Estate is overpriced at Brighton

Ran very when poorly positioned last time

Brighton 15:50: Estate 1pt win 9/4

Estate failed to win in five starts last season but he showed a level of ability that suggests he's more of a danger to the odds-on favourite in this race than the market suggests.

He ran well when chasing home Commander Straker on his second start at Bath before getting a poor trip and finding the trip too far in the Woodcote at Epsom.

He was unfortunate to run into Kerindia in a novice at Nottingham two starts ago, with the winner finishing third in a Group 3 in France next time, and Estate's last run was a nightmare.

He was a bit tight for room early on and shuffled to the back to the field and was then bumped on the bend when California Gem shifted out into him. That left Estate extremely wide turning into the straight and in last place before finishing well to come seventh, clocking the quickest final two furlongs despite having lost ground during the early part of that.

Estate's main rival, Spartan Arrow, has run to a good level and arguably just about sets the standard but he had everything go right for him last time and must show that he has the speed for five furlongs.

Considering that, I think there's too much between the two horses in the market and Estate appeals at 15/8 or bigger.