Rhys Williams has analysed Tuesday's racing and has one selection at Newton Abbot.
"I think there's the potential for one of those at a bigger price to break the apparent stranglehold these three have on the race and I'm hoping that will be Missyladie whose chance I think has been completely overlooked in the market."
Potential to improve on point form
Three horses dominate the market for the mares' maiden hurdle at Newton Abbot. Tequila Blaze is currently favourite and rightly so having shown a fairly good level of form this season. Thats The Truth and Whiskey Lullaby are next in the market and while they've both shown ability, they also just look a bit slow.
I think there's the potential for one of those at a bigger price to break the apparent stranglehold these three have on the race and I'm hoping that will be Missyladie whose chance I think has been completely overlooked in the market.
She had one run over hurdles in France in a claimer and was duly claimed after finishing second. Since then she's run in thirteen British points and when completing, has only finished out of the first four on one occasion. That came when she finished sixth at Buckfastleigh on the final day of last season. She was never put into the race at any stage that day and plugged on into sixth behind subsequent dual hunter chase winner The Galloping Bear and Nickelsonthedime, who is now rated 122 over hurdles.
On her first start of last season she was also running better than the form comments suggest when coming down at 3 out. She still hadn't been asked for any effort and was starting to make some headway again having lost her place when reaching for the fence and sending her jockey over the front.
She had beaten the runner up in that race, Journey Juice, on her final start of the 2018/19 season at Cotley. Despite not jumping well at any of the final three fences and some tack issues in the closing stages, she had the race safely in control going to the last and won comfortably by three lengths.
Missyladie has generally been ridden very patiently with the aim of making a strong late challenge but that changed on her only start of the current point to point season at Wadebridge. Handy from the off, she turned the final bend among the leading line of four and just jumped the last in front before not quite seeing it out on the stiff climb to the line. The winner of that race, Getting Closer, has since run well in a hunter chase.
Missyladie isn't a straightforward ride and will have to improve to match the form of the front trio but I think she could be better suited by going hurdling given her size. I'm also expecting this race to be fairly well run, which should suit her, and hopefully she will once again be ridden fairly handily.
There is the negative of her amateur jockey only being able to claim the same amount as Angus Cheleda and only 2lb more than Kevin Brogan as there's more between their levels of ability than that, but in a race with plenty of dead wood Missyladie is a bet at 25/1 or bigger.
RHYS' PROFIT/LOSS 2021