Horse racing tipster Rhys Williams has analysed Tuesday's cards and recommended two selections at Cork and Sedgefield...
"He looked much better than the bare result suggests and that performance indicated that he should have the necessary speed for a bumper."
Likely overlooked due to being a reserve
There has been nothing more predictable this season than the move in an overnight market for a horse that has gone well in a Dundalk barrier trial, so Coolmeen Royal shortening from a ridiculous opening price was no shock to anyone. There's no edge left in his price but I think the market has overlooked the chance of a reserve who has got into the race following two horses coming out this morning.
Dancing Rebel made her debut at the Curragh last month over seven furlongs and she shaped with promise. She was soon in a prominent position on the rail before dropping back slightly as Better Not Bitter came across her path. She was still travelling well just behind the leader on the rail with two furlongs to go before being pushed along. She didn't pick up from around a furlong out and couldn't go with the leaders while only being given a hands and heels ride.
The way that she travelled through the race suggests that she can cope with the drop back to six furlongs and that race has worked out quite well. The sixth, Scriptwriter, has won a maiden since while the seventh, King X J, won the Tattersalls Ireland sales race earlier this month.
A tongue tie goes on today which suggests there may have been a reason why Dancing Rebel didn't find as much late on as seemed likely and that could result in her finishing off the race stronger today.
It may be that there are a few in here that are too classy for her, or that she will need better ground to show her best, but I think her chance is underestimated by the market given the ability she showed on debut and any 20/1 or bigger appeals.
Shaped well when jumping poorly on point debut
The bumper that closes the card at Sedgefield doesn't look an overly strong contest and the ground could be much softer by then if the forecast rain comes. That could make this more of a test than some of the horses would ideally want.
A Different Kind should be fine under such conditions. He shaped promisingly on his debut in a maiden point at Tipperary in April. Given a patient ride, his jumping lacked fluency on many occasions but he was still travelling well in sixth leaving the back straight for the final time. Having been nudged along on the bend, O'Connor sat up on him turning into the home straight on the run to two out. Having jumped that in fourth, he pushed him along and A Different Kind finished very strongly in second.
He looked much better than the bare result suggests and that performance indicated that he should have the necessary speed for a bumper. His action also suggests that cut in the ground shouldn't be an issue for him if the rain does arrive.
It may turn out that one of the newcomers is above average but none of them particularly stand out beforehand and I think A Different Kind has a very good chance of getting off to winning start under rules in this race. Any 7/4 or bigger appeals.
RHYS' PROFIT/LOSS 2021
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