Rhys Williams' Tuesday Racing Tips: Follow Gifford novice on hurdling debut

Huntingdon
Our racing expert has three selections on Tuesday

Rhys Williams has analysed Tuesday's racing and has three selections at Huntingdon and Leicester.

"His full ability didn't come out in his results on the flat due to issues with starting slowly."

Frequently slowly away on the flat

Huntingdon 15:05: Follow Intello 1pt win 9/1

This looks a moderate novices' hurdle with Island Nation currently setting the standard over hurdles with a mark of 110. Argonauta showed ability in bumpers last season and he may end up being the best of these but his performances in those two races suggested that he may want more of a test of stamina than a sharp two miles.

It's possible that the same will be the case for Follow Intello but I think the market is currently underestimating his chance given that his full ability didn't come out in his results on the flat due to issues with starting slowly. His form has been on the decline since the start of 2020 but his runs at Yarmouth and Newbury this season have shown that he still has some ability and physically he looks a hurdling type so he may fare better in this sphere.

He hasn't always looked the most straightforward, which isn't a surprise given the sire, and there's always the chance that he will jump poorly on hurdling debut but, as long as he jumps adequately, I think he has the ability to be competitive in a race of this quality and any 8/1 or bigger appeals.

Returning to action on suitable ground

Leicester 17:40: Chateau d'If 1pt win 14/1

The ground will be extremely testing by the time of the final race at Leicester and that looks ideal for Chateau d'If who is returning to action after a summer break which may have been taken due to avoid racing on quick ground.

He showed ability on debut at Newbury last year on heavy ground when finishing fifth in a very strong maiden behind Scope, Mojo Star and Moshaawer and followed that with victory over seven furlongs on soft ground at Fontainebleau.

Having been a bit slowly away, he raced in midfield before making a big move on the inside turning the final bend to go into a share of the lead entering the home straight. He wandered right under pressure in the final furlong but was always holding the runner up, who is now rated the equivalent of 93, and drew clear to win by two lengths.

Chateau d'If's form in Britain this season hasn't been so good but two of those runs were on good ground which I think is too quick for him and he was slowly away and held up in a steadily run race at Doncaster when fourth on his latest start in May.

There is a concern that he will be similarly hampered by a steady pace today but I think the testing conditions give him a chance to show that he's better than a rating of 76 and any 10/1 or bigger appeals.

Overreaction to latest run

Leicester 17:40: Eligible 1pt win 28/1

Eligible was disappointing when sent off favourite for his latest start at Ayr but I thought he looked uncomfortable on the quick ground and there's been an overreaction in the market to that one below par run.

He had shaped well on his previous run at Musselburgh when a close second over a mile and his run at Redcar at the end of last season showed that he's capable of performing in testing conditions.

On that occasion, he was held up in last and was still travelling well towards the back of the field with two furlongs to go. He wasn't given an overly hard ride in the closing stages while running on late to finish seventh.

Eligible is inconsistent and he's another who would ideally want a good pace to close into but he's shown at times this season that he has the ability to be competitive off this mark and any 16/1 or bigger appeals.

RHYS' PROFIT/LOSS 2021

Staked: 362.00pts
Returned: 472.66pts
P/L: +110.66pts

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