Rhys Williams' Monday Racing Tips: Lenient mark for Fascinating import

Windsor
Our racing expert has one selection at Windsor

Rhys Williams has analysed Monday's action and has one selection at Windsor.

"Fascinating Lips has been given an opening mark of 65 and I think that underrates the level of form he achieved in those five runs."

Mark looks lenient on British debut

Windsor 15:10: Fascinating Lips 1pt win 9/1

In recent years there have been quite a few ex-German horses show themselves to be much better than the opening mark they were given in Britain, most notably King's Advice (he had moved to France for one run between running in Germany and joining Mark Johnston but was handicapped on his German form).

Another German import lines up in the 1m2f handicap at Windsor. Fascinating Lips ran five times in Germany for Eva Fabianova and showed some promise. He quickened clear in the closing stages when winning a maiden by four lengths at Hoppegarten on his second start, beating a subsequent three-time winner and a horse who finished second on either side of this run.

He ran well in defeat next time at Dusseldorf when although the ground was officially good, it was very loose on top and I think that didn't suit him. He was also involved in some bumping in the straight with the winner as that horse angled out to get a clear run.

He found the ground far too soft next time at Hanover when never in contention on his first start in handicap company but ran well on his final start in Germany at Dresden despite the ground being softer than ideal. Always handy, he kept responding well to pressure in the straight and was only beaten a length into second.

Fascinating Lips has been given an opening mark of 65 and I think that underrates the level of form he achieved in those five runs. I would have him on a mark in the low 70s based on the best of his form and I think there could be more improvement to come for the trainer switch and the forecast quicker ground, as his action suggests he will be ideally suited by that.

There is a concern that he sweated up on a few occasions and raced quite keenly in the early stages but it was encouraging that those traits weren't seen on his final start so it may be that he's gradually settling down.

I think the slightly longer trip should be no issue to him and, although Stopnsearch, Going Underground and Polar Cloud look to have potential for improvement too, Fascinating Lips is a bet at 6/1 or bigger.

RHYS' PROFIT/LOSS 2021

Staked: 77.00pts
Returned: 74.555pts
P/L: -2.445pts

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