Today's Horse Racing Tips: It's thumbs up for Palmer's Convertible at Newcastle

Trainer Hugo Palmer
Hugo Palmer's Convertible returns to the track on Tuesday at Newcastle

Maiden Castle managed a third on Monday for Alan, who is sticking with the all-weather again on Tuesday night with a pair of bets at Newcastle...

"Considering he was outpaced at Lingfield, the stiffer nature of Newcastle will suit him better, and from a good draw I give him a chance."

Back Convertible @ 9/110.0 in the 19:45 at Newcastle

Front-runner can add to his win tally at Newcastle

18:45 Newcastle - Back Mostawaa @ 6/17.0

Mostawaa is a horse who is holding his form well this season and he should go close in a competitive-looking 1m handicap at 18:45.

He has won this season at Haydock, and that's a track he seems enjoy with his front-running style, but he's been solid in defeat as well this term with a couple of seconds too - including a good Sandown run

Last time he was possibly stretched by the 9f at Goodwood, so reverting to the 1m is sure to suit.

His jockey Ellie McKenzie knows him well, and she rode him to success to win over course and distance in 2018 and is drawn well in 10 to attack the field again near-side.

He is clearly a prime candidate to play in terms of a back-to-lay trade.

Convertible can outrun his big odds on return

19:45 Newcastle - Back Convertible @ 9/110.0

Godolphin's Future King is the 10/11 favourite for this 7f maiden, and he has the sort of profile I usually get sucked into as a well-bred type with a run under his belt, but the price doesn't do anything for me.

Hugo Palmer's Convertible makes more appeal at around 9/110.0, although the price factors in the risk element as he hasn't been seen since running at Lingfield on debut in 2019.

That looked a good race, but it is a worry that Convertible has been off the track for 348 days. He's been gelded since and he wears blinkers today for the first time too.

Considering he was outpaced at Lingfield, the stiffer nature of Newcastle will suit him better, and from a good draw I give him a chance.


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Alan Dudman's P & L

2020 Overall: -18.29

This week
Staked: 1.0
Returned: 0.0

2019: +3.25
2018: +44.91
2017: +5.49
2016: +16.38

*All bets to a 0.5pt stake unless stated otherwise

2020 Festival Bets Of Day (Ascot & Cheltenham): +17.60 (1pt stake)
2020 Irish Racing Tips: +34.20 (1pt stake)

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