Alan Dudman had a winner yesterday with the Kim Bailey-trained Happygolucky, and he is backing another from his yard for a good-looking fixture at Wetherby on Friday...
"Equus Millar was rated 130 over hurdles, so his 124 mark for his handicap debut over fences looks a good one."
Bailey to do it again with Gold
14:10 Wetherby - Back Two For Gold @ 4.57/2
Kim Bailey continued his hot spell with another winner yesterday, and one for the column too as Happygolucky stormed home at Stratford. Hopefully he can continue his current streak with a win in the best race of the day at Wetherby.
Bailey's Two For Gold could potentially be his Grand National horse down the line, so it's an interesting starting point over 2m4f for his reappearance. The trip looks on the sharp side, but rain is forecast and he did win over the distance on his return to the track last term at Carlisle.
The 7yo kept good company last season as a novice - winning in a Grade 2 at Warwick in tenacious fashion, and running well against a classy rival at Ascot.
As a second-season chaser from 146, he potentially looks the classiest in here. He does have some serious rivals with the 2018 winner Born Survivor and last term's second Happy Diva - and she's a remarkably consistent chaser who is a real credit to connections. However, she could be susceptible to something with more staying power, and Two For Gold certainly has stamina.
Make plans to back Nigel's Equus Millar
15:20 Wetherby - Back Equus Millar @ 5.04/1
The 15:20 handicap over fences could revolve around Rose Dobbin's Some Reign - who finally got his act together when taking a race at Hexham last time. However, he has often been a horse that has flattered to deceive in the past and has quite a few odds-on defeats in-play next to his name.
It's a race of question marks elsewhere as Cracking Find is undoubtedly well treated, but he lost his way badly last term. The 9/4 on the Sportsbook for him looked a little short when I viewed the market on Thursday night.
I am happy to take a bit of a swing at Nigel Twiston-Davies' Equus Millar at around 5.04/1.
He scored on his chase debut at Worcester in the summer of 2019, emphatically too, winning by nine lengths. He hasn't been seen since so it's clearly a bit of a risk after a lay-off, but that's one thing I am never too worried about with horses from the "Twister" yard.
Equus Millar was rated 130 over hurdles, so his 124 mark for his handicap debut over fences looks a good one. He can make the running too and will give you a chance to trade back your stake.
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Alan Dudman's P & L
2020 Overall: -20.84
*All bets to a 0.5pt stake unless stated otherwise
2016-2019 P & L: +70.03
2020 Festival Bets Of Day (Ascot & Cheltenham): +17.60 (1pt stake)
2020 Irish Racing Tips: +34.20 (1pt stake)
Back Two For Gold @ 4.57/2 in the 14:10 at Wetherby
Back Equus Millar @ 5.04/1 in the 15:20 at Wetherby