Find Me a 100 Winner: Three to follow at Corales

Golfer Kyoung-Hoon Lee
Kyoung-Hoon Lee should appreciate the drop in grade

The PGA Tour is off to the Dominican Republic this week and Paul Krishnamurty recommends three big odds picks whom he reckons will enjoy conditions...

"The Korean also boasts various bits of form at correlating tracks. Best of all fifth at Sea Island and seventh at the Honda in 2019 - both much stronger events."

Back Kyoung-Hoon Lee 2u @ 179/1180.0
Place order to lay 20u @ 13/114.0

We're all in on the PGA Tour event this week. The Irish Open could well produce an outsider in windy conditions but it doesn't look anywhere near as fertile territory as the Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship.

Vast bank of course and correlating form

As Steve Rawlings explains in his comprehensive tournament preview, this is basically a putting contest and previous winners were far from obvious. Furthermore, he lists some very useful correlating courses.

Back Sam Ryder 2u @ 169/1170.0
Place order to lay 20u @ 12.5

That is a major reason behind my first pick. Not only is Sam Ryder a former runner-up here on the Kornferry Tour, but was also third at the correlating Puerto Rico Open in February and, in a much stronger event, sat third at halfway of the Sony Open.

Ryder's long-term profile set against this company is arguably better than his odds but our bet does involve overlooking five missed cuts from his last six events. On the plus side, at least seventh place at Muirfield Village in July means he has some post-lockdown form in the book.

Consistent cut-makers worth a look at this level

Back Kyoung-Hoon Lee 2u @ 179/1180.0
Place order to lay 20u @ 13/114.0

This standard is so far below the recent PGA Tour norm we can subtract at least twenty places from finishing positions. On that reading, K.H. Lee's five cuts from seven is very encouraging, especially 29th on his penultimate start at the Northern Trust.

Lee played Corales on the KornFerry Tour in 2017, leading through 54 holes before falling back to eighth. The Korean also boasts various bits of form at correlating tracks. Best of all fifth at Sea Island and seventh at the Honda in 2019 - both much stronger events - and 14th at this year's Puerto Rico Open.

Promising Whaley set for best finish yet?

Back Vincent Whaley 2u @ 229/1230.0
Place order to lay 20u @ 17.5

Likewise the drop in grade brings this promising outsider into the equation. Vincent Whaley's last three results were a solid 23rd at the Safeway, 37th at the much stronger Wyndham, sandwiched by a top-20 on the Kornferry Tour in which he sat third at halfway.

Whaley enjoyed some decent results during his shortened rookie season. Ninth at the correlating Puerto Rico Open, top-40s in much stronger company at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am and the American Express. Notably given the nature of this event, he ranks third for strokes gained: putting amongst these since lockdown.

Steve has put up a few outsiders including Graeme McDowell 109/1110.0 and a couple more alternatives deserve a quick mention. Brice Garnett 139/1140.0 is on a poor run but is a former champion here and has achieved plenty at correlating tracks.

Dave Tindall puts up Aaron Baddeley each-way at 150/1. Badds is always a player I like to keep an eye on at suitable tracks because his career win ratio is far superior to others of a similar standard.


Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty

Profit/Loss

2020: -67.5 units
2019: +70.5 units

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