US Masters Find Me a 100 Winner: Long-shots chanced at Augusta up to 609/1

There have been a couple of spells fairly recently when we've seen a run of outsiders win the US Masters.

When 150.0149/1 chance Angel Cabrera edged out Chad Campbell and Kenny Perry in extra-time in 2009 he was the third triple-figure priced winner in-a-row, following victories for Zach Johnson in 2007 and Trevor Immelman in '08, and there was a similar run of results a decade earlier.

Mark O'Meara, Jose Maria Olazabal and Vijay Singh were all surprise winners between 1998 and 2000 but it's now 17 years since a long-shot donned the famous Green Jacket.

Hideki Matsuyama, was a 70.069/1 chance in 2021, but six of the last seven winners have gone off at 20/121.00 or shorter. Picking out a couple of long-shots could well be a futile exercise but I've given it go.

Dave Tindall makes a case for the 2013 winner Adam Scott, who's trading at a triple-figure price on the Exchange, and at a similar price fellow Aussie Jason Day has plenty of Augusta form in the bank. But he's yet to better his debut second 15 years ago.

Following his second success at the Valero Texas Open, last year's US Open winner JJ Spaun is bidding to emulate Phil Mickelson, who won the US Masters 20 years ago after winning the now defunct Bell South Classic the week before. He's a fair price at 100.099/1.

Patrick Cantlay, who has been as high as number three in the world, doesn't have a great bank of Augusta form but he shot 64 in round three in 2019 when he finished ninth (his only top 10 finish) and he finished a promising seventh in Houston last time out. And we haven't had a first time winner of the US Masters since 1979 but Jacob Bridgeman looks like he could go close.

As highlighted in the preview, Riviera form holds up brilliantly at Augusta and he got off the mark on the PGA Tour there in February. But the one I like, who only just qualifies as a triple-figure priced pick, is Sepp Straka.

US Masters bet #1- Sepp Straka @ 110.0109/1

There must be compromises when picking out a player at 100/1101.00 or bigger and, with Straka, it's course form and a lack of a recent win.

Most Augusta winners have shot a Masters round in the 60s before they've won here and the last four Green Jacket winners had won at least two tournaments earlier in the year.

With course form figures reading 30-46-16-MC, Straka's best round here is his two-under-par 70 in round one in 2023 but he really should have bettered that 12 months ago.

After a poor first round of 78, the Austrian stood on the 17^th tee in round two on five-under-par for the day, despite failing to birdie the par five 15^th, but a bogey at the penultimate hole and a disastrous triple at the last saw him miss the cut.

That finish may have been catastrophic but that round up until 17 demonstrated that Augusta is a track that he can play and coming in under the radar this year may be a plus.

As highlighted in the preview, most US Masters winners have come into the event with low expectations having underperformed at Augusta the year before. Patrick Reed won here in 2018 with a similar profile to Straka.

Reed had missed the cut the year before and he hadn't broken 70 in four starts here either.

Born in Vienna, Straka and his family moved to Georgia when he was 14 and he and his twin, Sam, both went to the University of Georgia, so he'll feel at home this week and although he doesn't have a victory to his name this year, the 32-year-old has shown glimpses in 2026.

Straka missed the cut at the Houston Open last time out, but prior to that he'd finished second in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, 13^th in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and eighth in the Players Championship.

In addition to his weekend off in Texas a fortnight ago, Straka also finished a disappointing 50^th in the Genesis Invitational one week after his second place at Pebble but that was a bizarre performance given he was inside the top-20 at halfway before he shot 80 in round three.

Straka is a class act with four PGA Tour titles and two playoff defeats in the last four years. He has a mixed bag of major results but he finished seventh in the US PGA Championship and second in the Open in 2023. He has the game to succeed here.

His missed cut last time out is obviously a negative but he's always been a bit of in-and-out performer so that doesn't put me off.

He won The American Express a week after finishing only 30^th in the Sony Open last year before winning the Truist Championship just three starts after his missed cut here, and he lost in a playoff at the FedEx St Jude in 2022 after a run of six missed cuts in-a-row.

All things considered, he's very fair price given he's so prolific and that he's ranked as highly as number 13 in the Official World Rankings.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

US Masters bet #2- Nico Echavarria @ 610.0609/1

As already stated, each of the last four US Masters winners had won at least twice earlier in the season and, as Dave Tindall highlights in his excellent 10-year trends piece, seven of the last 10 winners had won earlier in the year. For my second pick then, I'm going for the huge outsider Nico Echavarria who won the Cognizant Classic just five weeks ago.

That was the 32-year-old Colombian's third victory on the PGA Tour and, had he beaten Nick Taylor in the Sony Open playoff last year, he would have won on the PGA Tour every year for the last four years, so he's fairly prolific.

The second of his three wins came in Japan at the ZOZO Championship in 2024 around the tree-lined layout at Narashino Country Club, a venue at which US Masters winners Tiger Woods and Hideki Matsuyama have also both won, so it's perhaps not surprising that Echavarria appeared to take to Augusta when he debuted here last year.

Echavarria ended the week in a tie for 50^th but after opening with rounds of 73 and 70 and a three-under-par 69 on Saturday, he began the final tied for 10^th place before a disastrous 84 saw him slip down the leaderboard.

The last 10 US Masters winners have all been inside the top 30 of the Official World Rankings so the fact that Echavarria ranks 30^th is another plus. I thought he was worth chancing at what is a truly massive price for someonewho's already won three times on the PGA Tour.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

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