Dave Tindall is back with three each-way selections for this week's PGA Tour event in Mississippi...
"Davis has been in solid form in the last few months with top 15s at the 3M Open and Wyndham Championship. Looking at his round scores, the 25-year-old posted a trio of 65s at Sedgefield and then followed that by opening 64-65 at The Northern Trust."
Main Bet: Cameron Davis each-way @ 45/1
All six champions at the Country Club of Jackson have been first-time winners on the PGA Tour so that's a decent place to start.
Last year the theme continued when Sebastian Munoz and Sungjae Im fired 18-under to contest a play-off. Both were seeking a debut success at this level and it was the Colombian who edged it on the first extra hole.
That 18-under tally added to previous winning totals of -21 (Cameron Champ), -19 (Ryan Armour), -20 (Cody Gribble), -18 (Peter Malnati) and -16 (Nick Taylor).
So, yes, birdies are very much on the menu. I'm looking for examples of a recent low score as that has been a good pointer. For example, both Champ and Armour had fired a 61 not too long before winning here.
The course - a 7,400-yard par 72 - requires strong driving. Or perhaps that should be, strong driving paves the way for success. Last year, the first five home ranked in the top 10 for Strokes Gained: Off The Tee. It's a similar story in 2018 with the three podium finishers ranked in the top four for SG: OTT.
In terms of course correlation, a good one is Sedgefield, host of the Wyndham Championship. As with the Country Club of Jackson, that layout features Champion Bermuda and some of the visuals are the same too.
Armour's 61 came at Sedgefield so a low one there scores some points.
So, throwing all that into the mixer, the first name it spits out is Cameron Davis.
The Aussie won his home Open in 2017 and landed a Korn Ferry Tour win in 2018 when closing with a 65 to capture the Nashville Golf Open. Tennessee, of course, borders Mississippi which is where we are this week.
Davis has been in solid form in the last few months with top 15s at the 3M Open and Wyndham Championship.
Looking at his round scores, the 25-year-old posted a trio of 65s at Sedgefield (tick, tick, tick!) and then followed that by opening 64-65 at The Northern Trust where he was second at halfway before fading on the weekend. In the Wyndham, he ranked 10th for SG: Putting so clearly thrived on the Champion Bermuda greens.
A good driver of the ball, Davis was 55th for SG: Off The Tee last season and ranked in the top 20 for that category at the Safeway Open on his latest start.
He's had two previous cracks at Country Club of Jackson. A missed cut in 2018 obviously wasn't great but tied 28th last year was a fair knock and one that can be stepped up on.
Davis' only other start in the region was in the Korn Ferry's North Mississippi Classic two years ago when he was third with a round to go.
He fits the profile of previous winners here so the 45/1 looks good.
Next Best: Denny McCarthy each-way @ 66/1
Another 20-something looking for that first PGA Tour success is Maryland's Denny McCarthy.
The 27-year-old has had two good performances at the Country Club of Jackson, with tied seventh in 2018 and tied 18th in 2019.
He ranked 1st for SG: Putting on these greens two years ago and topped the SGP stats for the entire season in 2019/20.
So he's a good man to have in a birdie-fest and that's also shown by his one win on the Korn Ferry.
That came in the 2018 Web.com Tour Championship where he fired rounds of 64-65-67-65 to shoot 23-under and win by four.
McCarthy, who ranked 13th for Birdie Average last season, has made seven of his last eight cuts on the PGA Tour.
And the best of those came at the Wyndham Championship where he rounded off his week with a 63 to post tied ninth.
He ranked 1st for Driving Accuracy at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship last week so his game looks in good shape again after he was one of those who had to take time out after a positive COVID test.
Take McCarthy at 66/1.
Jumping back to the top of the market, Scottie Scheffler will be raring to go after Coronavirus denied him a place in the US Open field.
In theory, he's a great fit here. Scheffler is chasing a first victory and is a superb driver of the ball.
His current form of 4-4-20-2 is also excellent, especially when those four events were the PGA Championship, The Northern Trust, the BMW Championship and the Tour Championship.
He was tied 16th here last year and everything looks in place.
Scheffler heads the market at 10/1 although this is an each-way preview and doesn't really play at those prices.
Doc Redman at 25/1 is my other player close to selection from the front end.
After two third places in his last three starts, that first breakthrough win beckons.
Final Bet: Kristoffer Ventura each-way @ 80/1
Again, I'll look to another player who went low at Sedgefield recently.
That's not the main reason for tipping Kristoffer Ventura but his third-round 63 there showed he could excel on Champion Bermuda.
He followed that with tied 15th in the Korn Ferry's Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship before adding tied seventh in the Safeway Open.
Good from the tee (66th SG: OTT last season), Ventura is also a force on the greens. He was 4th for SG: Putting last season and gained over five strokes at the Safeway.
But a large part of this punt is trying to get a hugely promising player at a big price; after all, this is the tournament where that sort of thinking pays off.
Ventura was a teammate of Viktor Hovland and Matthew Wolff at Oklahoma State and all these heralded young stars seem to be living up to the promise.
Those two are already PGA Tour winners, while Collin Morikawa went even further by winning a major, something Wolff almost did at the US Open.
Whether Ventura can justify the hype remains to be seen but he already has two Korn Ferry Tour titles to his name after a pair of wins last summer - the Utah Championship (69-70-66-65) and the Pinnacle Bank Championship (67-64-67-70).
That Utah win came on just his fifth start on the Korn Ferry so clearly he could be something special.
The man with the Mexican dad and Norwegian mother makes lots of birdies so hopefully he can play a big part at 80/1.
Dave's 2020/2021 P/L
2019/2020 P/L: +£13.83
2018/2019 P/L: -£338.25
2017/2018 P/L: +£362.84
2016/2017 P/L: +£1179.89