RBC Canadian Open 2026: Dave Tindall's each-way picks from 30/1 to 80/1

Introduction to the RBC Canadian Open

There's quite a lot going on in the USA and Canada over the next month or so.

But before the World Cup begins, Canada takes centre stage in the golfing world for the latest edition of its Open.

First contested way back in 1904, the Canadian Open is the oldest continous running tournament on the PGA Tour. In terms of non-majors, it's the oldest.

The event has had numerous homes in that time and the latest is TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley.

First used last year, it produced a dramatic finale as Ryan Fox edged out Sam Burns in a playoff.

I'd have to include the Canadian Open in my list of favourite Tour stops having tipped Fox at 66/167.00 last year and Robert MacIntyre at 70/171.00 (Hamilton Golf & CC) in 2024.

Fox's victory 12 months ago means no American player has landed this event since 2018 while you have to go back to Brandt Snedeker in 2013 to find the next US winner on the list.

The North Course, the one in use this week, is a par 70 but was the easiest of its kind on the PGA Tour in 2025. Fox and Burns contested the playoff after both shot 18-under.

The rough is actually shorter this year so expect the birdie count to be high once more.

Fox and Burns are big hitters, as was the third-placed finisher Kevin Yu. Cam Young, who tied for fifth, is longer than them all so driving distance is one angle.

I like event form too. Sure, the examination may be different at each venue but there's a Canadian vibe that definitely suits some players.

Fox had been seventh the year before while in the last decade both Jhonattan Vegas and Rory McIlroy have won it twice.

Shane Lowry each-way @ 30/131.00

Shane Lowry's attempt to end a winless streak on the PGA Tour was one of the big storylines earlier this year.

It really came into focus when he blew victory in the Cognizant Classic when losing the plot over the final few holes and finishing runner-up.

That probably knocked him for a while but there are signs of Lowry bubbling under and looking ready to burst into life again.

At Augusta he was fourth with a round to play before enduring a miserable Sunday (80) and sliding to 30th.

And in his last three starts the Irishman has managed a 23rd in the Cadillac Championship (closing 65) and a 22nd in last week's Memorial (ninth at halfway).

In the latter he ranked 8th for SG: Approach to show that his irons are sharpening up again and I'm happy to pull the trigger at 30s (he'd be far closer to the front of the betting with some slightly better form).

Perhaps just a change of scene will get Lowry over the line and he's certainly relished his trips to Canada.

The Ryder Cup star was runner-up in 2019 and has three other top 15s in his other previous five starts in the event, including 13th at this course last year when shooting 65-68-68-67.

Lowry has played the last four editions so clearly wants this as part of his schedule.

And just to frank the feeling the planets could be aligning for Lowry, we're getting some rather European summer weather on the weekend with temperatures in the low 70s and the chance of rain.

Looking at some of Lowry's near misses, since the start of 2025 his second/third place finishes have come on the back of MC, 12th (pairs event) and 24th. He'd dropped hints but no more in his past few starts before the big finish and that's probably the case again here.

Get him at decent odds in the 5 Place market.

Bet 2: Matt Wallace each-way @ 80/181.00

While two Englishmen - Matt Fitzpatrick and Tommy Fleetwood - head the market at 12/113.00, I'm drawn to their compatriot Matt Wallace at way bigger odds.

Wallace was runner-up in the Texas Open just six starts ago while he has a PGA Tour win on his CV thanks to his one-shot victory at the 2023 Corales Puntacana Championship.

Like this event, that tournament takes place outside of the US mainland (Dominican Republic).

Wallace missed the cut here last year after shooting 69-71 which is hardly a crime but he was 27th at Hamilton the year before (third-round 65) and 37th on his only other Canadian Open start at St George's.

The 36-year-old has pretty solid stats across the board this season (no worse than 76th in any of the five Strokes Gained categories) and he's shown he can 'pop' in different ones.

Two starts ago at the Truist Championship he ranked 2nd for Approach and prior that he was 2nd for Putting at the Cadillac.

Wallace was 37th and 23rd in those two events while we last saw him closing with a 68 for 44th in the US PGA.

But that second place in Texas (3rd Approach, 15th Putting) shows what can happen when he puts it together.

A winner at Crans-sur-Sierre on the DP World Tour in September 2024, let's take Wallace at 80s in the five-place market.

As seven of his last 10 top 10s are actually top fours, it's often the case that when he's on, he's really on.

Bet 3: Tony Finau each-way @ 40/141.00

I've had a few first-round leader bets on Tony Finau this season - the idea being that he seems better at giving punters a run over 18 rather than 72 holes at the moment.

But the big hitter from Utah is starting to piece the four-day puzzle together.

A 29th in the grind at Memorial was a decent knock while the last time he contested a birdie-fest (like this week), Finau was sixth in May's CJ Cup Byron Nelson after carding 67-63-69-65.

The notable stat when plouging through his numbers is Off The Tee. Finau ranked 3rd at the Byron Nelson and 2nd at Memorial so the driver really is becoming an asset again.

I also like the fact that Finau, a man of Tongan and Samoan descent, often excels when spreading his wings beyond the confines of samey courses on American soil.

His first PGA Tour win came in Puerto Rico in 2016 and his most recent in Mexico in 2023.

As for this week, he seems to love breathing in Canadian air too.

Finau has a second (St George's) and a fifth (Glen Abbey) in two of his last three starts in the event and he achieved the former with weekend scores of 62-64.

The putter still isn't behaving as he'd like so let's play him in the 10 Place market at 40s. It's only a small drop from the 45s for 5 Places.

Now read Steve Rawlings' RBC Canadian Open preview

*You can follow me on Twitter @DaveTindallgolf