Weather forecast for Thursday: It's very much autumn now and it'll take a few hours to warm up in Paris even though the sun is out early. Temps rise to around 70 degrees in mid-afternoon while there's hardly any wind to speak of.
Fox can flourish
Ryan Fox is a morning starter at 08.10 so will have to face coolish conditions at the beginning but, what the heck, he's a tough New Zealander so that shouldn't matter.
Instead I prefer to focus on his reputation for fast starts.
The Kiwi has had a piece of the first-round lead in three of his last 15 starts on the DP World Tour, the most recent coming in July's Irish Open.
He's also gone low on this course, finishing sixth on debut in 2017 and firing an opening 65 to take the first-round lead in 2019, the last occasion the event was played.
Somewhat unusually, Fox withdrew from Wentworth after twisting his knee while walking around a kitchen table. It kept him out of last week's Italian Open but he's fine to tee it up here.
And, finally, perhaps he'll have extra motivation to perform having been overlooked for a place in the Presidents Cup. He could easily have been given the nod by International skipper Trevor Immelman on what he's achieved this season.
Keep faith in Kiradech
Kiradech Aphibarnrat has shown flashes of form both of late and on this course.
So, in the hope that the good stuff tallies, I'll make him my second pick at 80/1.
The Thai was second after 36 holes of the Korn Ferry Tour Championship earlier this month before imploding and in last week's Italian Open he snuck into the weekend in tied 63rd and rose to tied 12th after a strong finish.
He's only played nine rounds on this course and they vary from a 66 to an 81.
It's his first visit since 2017 and, if he's one of his birdie-making streaks, Aphibarnrat could put himself on top. He tees off at 14.50.
Count on Campillo
Continental Europeans have a fine record in this event so I'll conclude with a punt on Jorge Campillo.
The Spaniard closed with a 66 to finish tied eighth here on his last appearance and before that he'd registered a pair of top 20s at Le Golf National.
He returns in impressive form after making his last six cuts and two of the last three show fourth at Crans-sur-Sierre and ninth in Sunday's Italian Open.
Campillo was also seventh in July's Irish Open where a 65 put him second after 18 holes.
He heads out at 08.40 and is a 50/1 chance.