Mexico Open at Vidanta 2024 Each-way Tips: Picks from 28/1 to 70/1

Canadian golfer Taylor Pendrith
Taylor Pendrith can take victory

The PGA Tour heads to Mexico this week and Dave Tindall has three each-way bets for the action at Vidanta Vallarta...

  • 28/129.00 Taylor Pendrith is suited to this test

  • 33/134.00 Ryan Fox looks ready to shine in the US

  • 70/171.00 Sam Stevens has plenty of relevant formlines

  • There's a move up the schedule for this year's Mexico Open with the 2024 edition following straight on the back of the West Coast Swing.

    The first two were played in late April with the US Masters already in the books rather than an exciting prospect on the horizon.

    Talking of Augusta, 2021 Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama produced one of the great Sunday performances last week to capture The Genesis Invitational in Los Angeles.

    That victory was the first by a bona fide big name this season after a string of surprise winners and it will be interesting to see if that return to the norm continues or the shocks kick in again.

    There's a fair chance of a lesser name winning in Mexico this week due to the lack of star quality heading to the Norman Signature Course at Vidanta Vallarta.

    Tony Finau is a clear 13/27.50 favourite but the short prices on Nicolai Hojgaard 14/115.00 and Thomas Detry 20/121.00 show that most of the elite names are taking a week off ahead of the upcoming Florida Swing.

    Despite a long history, this event has only been contested twice on the PGA Tour, with Finau winning last year and finishing in a three-way tie for second behind Jon Rahm in 2022.

    With winning scores of 24-under (2023) and 17-under (2022), this is one of the easier tests. The 7,456-yard par 71 has length but wide fairways and flat greens mean we see plenty of birdies.

    Back Taylor Pendrith @ 28/129.00

    It's been a case of feast or famine for Taylor Pendrith on the PGA in recent months.

    The Canadian was third at the Shriners and eighth in the Bermuda Championship at the end of 2023 as well as 10th in the Sony Open and ninth at the Farmers Insurance Open last month.

    During that run he also missed cuts in the RSM Classic and the American Express and, stretching back, his last 15 events show either top 15s (seven) or weekends off (eight).

    But it's very easy to focus on the recent positives and there's one more to mention too.

    Pendrith's last visit to Mexico resulted in a 15th at the World Wide Technology Championship between the Shriners and the Bermuda. He was left to rue a cold start as he finished 66-67-65.

    With a Presidents Cup in Montreal later this year, Canadian golfers seem to be collectively raising their games.

    We've seen Nick Taylor score a brilliant win in the Waste Management Phoenix Open two weeks ago while last week Adam Hadwin took fourth at Riviera to follow up his sixth at The American Express.

    Pendrith and Taylor both made the top 10 at the Sony Open and I'm expecting this week's headline pick to really enjoy the test here after he promised much more than his eventual 30th on debut last year after starting out 65-70 to sit fourth after day one and 12th at halfway.

    The wins for Finau and Rahm show that big hitting is rewarded here and Pendrith, who loves to pull the big stick, is 10th for Driving Distance on the PGA Tour this season (he was 30th and 10th in the previous two).

    If he can perform to the levels he's hit in the majority of his recent events, Pendrith has to have a chance at 28/129.00.

    Back Taylor Pendrith each-way @ 28/129.00

    Bet now

    Back Ryan Fox @ 33/134.00

    Ryan Fox loves to smash the driver so hopes are high that he can hit the ground running on his course debut.

    The Kiwi started his season with 14th and 31st in the two DP World Tour events in Dubai.

    Fox is now activating his PGA Tour card, a prize he won after finishing fifth in the Race to Dubai standings last year.

    We've already seen one of the other 10 card winners, Matthieu Pavon, turn that realised dream into an actual PGA Tour win this season after the Frenchman took victory at Torrey Pines.

    Fox hasn't made such a dramatic impression after a missed cut at Torrey Pines but he got off to a bright start in Phoenix last time out, opening 66-68 to lurk sixth at halfway before fading on the weekend.

    A superb winner of the DP World Tour's blue riband BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth in September, Fox enjoyed some good moments on the PGA Tour last season

    He was 14th at Bay Hill, 26th in the US Masters, 23rd at the US PGA and 21st at Colonial.

    This is far easier company and one obvious plus is that he boasts a strong record on Paspalum greens, the featured grass type here.

    The standout is his victory in the 2022 Ras al Khaimah Championship at Al Hamra while he can also point to a pair of top sixes in the Saudi International at Royal Greens.

    The 37-year-old has won three times over the last two full DP World Tour seasons and with the putter working nicely - sixth for Strokes Gained: Putting in Phoenix and eighth in that category in the Dubai Invitational - this could be a big week.

    Fox, whose last trip to the country resulted in a decent 29th in the WGC-Mexico Championship at Chapultepec, is well worth an each-way punt at 33s.

    Back Ryan Fox each-way @ 33/134.00

    Bet now

    Back Sam Stevens @ 70/171.00

    Sam Stevens looks to be building towards a breakout moment again after some promising performances in the early part of the season.

    The 27-year-old from Texas opened 67-67-63 to sit third after 54 holes of last month's Sony Open before a difficult Sunday.

    Since then he's made all three cuts, improving his finish from 65th at The American Express to 43rd in the Farmers Insurance and 28th in the Waste Management Phoenix Open where he produced his best SG: Off The Tee and Putting numbers of the season.

    Stevens is another boomer with driver in hand (16th for Driving Distance this season; ninth for DD in Phoenix) which bodes well.

    It's his first start at Vidanta Vallarta but he did play three Latinoamerica Tour events in Mexico across 2020 and 2021 and finished eighth, ninth and 11th.

    As for Paspalum, there's some encouragement there too as Stevens was third in last season's Corales Puntacana as well as 15th a few weeks earlier in the Puerto Rico Open.

    One final plus was that the last time he played a Greg Norman layout, Stevens finished runner-up in the 2023 Texas Open at TPC San Antonio.

    At last month's Sony Open, he noted: "My game feels pretty good. Been putting in a lot of work the last couple months trying to get a little better, and tweaked some things with my chipping, putting. This week has been great with those things."

    Back the big-hitting Stevens (listed as Samuel Stevens) at 70/171.00.

    Back Sam Stevens each-way @ 70/171.00

    Bet now

    Read Steve Rawlings' preview of the Mexico Open at Vidanta

Dave's P/L for 2024

Staked: £180
Returned: £84
P/L: -£96

2022/2023 P/L: -£191.44
2021/2022 P/L: -£315.35
2020/2021 P/L: +£1475.87
2019/2020 P/L: +£13.83
2018/2019 P/L: -£338.25
2017/2018 P/L: +£362.84
2016/2017 P/L: +£1179.89

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