Golf Bets

Find Me a 100 Winner: 439/1 Hurly heads list of five Longshot fancies in Japan

Golfer Hurly Long
Could Hurly Long deliver at 439/1?

This week Steve Rawlings is concentrating on the DP World Tour event in Japan for his outsiders to back with five triple-figure priced selections...

  • Five bets from 99/1 to 439/1 for event in Japan

  • They all enjoy a tree-lined course

  • Longshot Hurly is this week's biggest price

Jonas Blixt and Cam Smith went off at a triple-figure price to win the Zurich Classic back in 2017, on the first occasion the tournament was played as a pairs event. Last year's winners, Nick Harding and Davis Riley, went off at 70.069/1. But it's a tournament that tends to be dominated by the fancied pairings.

It's been a great year for outsiders on the PGA Tour, but I can see one of the market leaders taking this week's title so I'm concentrating on this week's DP World Tour event - the ISPS Handa Championship - for the column this week, where I've backed five longshots!

Pablo Larrazabal @ 100.099/1

We haven't seen Pablo Larrazabal since he finished 24th at the Qatar Masters in February but there's a very good reason for his absence from the DP World Tour.

He became a dad for the first time last month so he's taken a bit of a sabbatical.

There's obviously a chance that the Spaniard will be rusty in his first start back but he's extremely prolific, with four wins in his last 47 starts, and he enjoys a tree-lined test.

Back Pablo Larrazabal (2us) @ 100.099/1

Bet here

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 & 12 Us @ 2.01/1

Guido Migliozzi @ 110.0109/1

Italy's Guido Migliozzi is another prolific player who enjoys a tree-lined test, and he too looks worth chancing at a triple-figure price.

He won his first DP World tour event at Karen Country Club in Kenya and his second around Rinkven International Golf Club in Belgium - both tree-lined tracks.

He hasn't won since he came from off the pace to claim the Open de France title in 2022 but he's a good fit for the venue and he has a habit of finding form out of the blue.

The K Club in Ireland appears to correlate nicely with this venue and Migliozzi was sitting sixth at the halfway stage of the Irish Open there in September (finished 16th).

Back Guido Migliozzi (2Us) @ 110.0109/1

Bet here

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 & 12 Us @ 2.01/1

Grant Forrest @ 160.0159/1

Scotland's Grant Forrest was the first man who came to mind when I started looking at the event and he's a huge price at 160.0159/1.

He finished fourth in this event 12 months ago, having led at halfway (his only previous visit to Japan), and he was third in the Irish Open at the K Club in September.

The 30-year-old Scotsman has only won once on the DP World Tour, in the now defunct Hero Open but he's a very capable player on his day.

Forrest hasn't contended since he finished fourth at the Australian open in December and withdrew after the opening round in India last time out. There's an obvious risk on current form but that's more than factored in at such a big price.

Back Grant Forrest (2Us) @ 160.0159/1

Bet here

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 & 12 Us @ 2.01/1

Dylan Frittelli @ 260.0259/1

Matt Cooper makes a great case for the recent Bahrain Championship winner, Dylan Frittelli, in his each-way column and I can't quite believe he can be backed on the Exchange at as big as 260.0259/1!

The South African is a class act on his day and is another who enjoys a tree-lined venue, as his fifth in the US Masters in 2020 testifies.

Dylan frittelli Texas Open.jpg

He also finished fifth in the Open Championship as recently as 2021 so he's a massive price given he won on the DP World Tour as recently as February.

Back Dylan Frittelli (1U) @ 260.0259/1

Bet here

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 & 12 Us @ 2.01/1

Hurly Long @ 440.0439/1

With 2024 form figures reading 48-MC-MC-43-MC-29-MC, it's impossible to make a case for Hurly Long on current form but he had a similar set of figures before finishing second at the K Club in September, where he went off at 1000.0999/1!

The 28-year-old German is yet to win on the DP World Tour, but he has been victorious on the Challenge Tour, winning the Italian Challenge Open at a tree-lined venue back in 2020.

Long was placed twice in a row on the PGA Tour in July 2022 (fourth at the Barbasol Championship and seventh at the Barracuda) and a couple of months prior to that he'd finished third at the Ras al Khaimah Classic and second at the Kenya Open around the Muthaiga Golf Club.

He hasn't been at his best of late but there's evidence to suggest the course will suit him.

Back Hurly Long (0.5U) @ 440.0439/1

Bet here

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 & 12 Us @ 2.01/1

Now read my Zurich Classic preview

*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter


Staked: 74.5 Us

Returned: 24 Us

P/L: -50.5 Us


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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.