Each-way terms: 1/5 odds, 6 places
Weather forecast for Thursday: After the high temperatures of Tuesday/Wednesday, the gauge drops a little on Thursday. It's still more than pleasant though with the early starters getting temps in the mid-60s before it reaches the early 70s in the afternoon. There's around a 25-30% chance of some rain too while winds are light at 3-6mph.
First-round leader history in the BMW PGA Championship:
2020 - 66 Tyrrell Hatton, Adri Arnaus, Justin Harding
2019 - 65 Matt Wallace
2018 - 65 Lucas Bjerregaard
2017 - 66 Johan Carlsson
2016 - 65 YE Yang, Scott Hend, Joost Luiten
2015 - 65 Francesco Molinari
2014 - 62 Thomas Bjorn
Rafa can make early roar
Rafa Cabrera Bello failed to secure his PGA Tour playing privileges after only managing 20th place in the Korn Ferry Tour Championship last week.
But when he returns to the immaculate West Course at Wentworth, it might just remind him that having to play more golf on the European Tour is no bad thing after all.
This is certainly one of his favourite tracks and the Spaniard has finished sixth and eighth on his last two visits while racking up four other top 25s going further back.
He was third after day one in 2014 and started with a 69 last year for tied 14th.
This year he was third following the opening lap at both the Byron Nelson and US Open and fifth after Thursday's action at Memorial.
Last week he ended day one in seventh at the Korn Ferry Tour Championship.
There's plenty there to get involved for a FRL punt at 90/1.
Sharma looks overpriced
Shubhankar Sharma is my outsider this week and the industry-best 125/1 is definitely worth a look.
The Indian shot middle rounds of 67-66 (11-under) to sit third after 54 holes on his Wentworth debut in 2019.
We've seen some of that fine form recently too with a run of 12-50-9-16 over his last four events. The T50 was at Crans but even there he'd been prominent, sitting in the top 10 with a round to play.
His short game looked sharp in Italy last week and that could be key in round one with the course likely to play firm and fast after unusually hot weather in the build-up.
Rose can rise to top of early leaderboard
A more obvious play this week is Justin Rose but there's enough juice in his price of 45/1 to get stuck in.
The Englishman is a two-time runner-up at Wentworth and has no end of other good finishes.
He's been in the top eight after day one no less than six times, including holding the first-round lead in 2007. His last two openers (67 in 2019 and 68 in 2010) were good enough for T4 and T8 respectively.
Rose was the first-round leader at Augusta National earlier this year and also T9 after Thursday's action in the Open Championship so he's started the big events well.
Add in some Ryder Cup incentive to either qualify or earn a wildcard and he'll hopefully come out fast.
My three picks are spread throughout the day in the tee-times list: Rose 08:30 (10th), Sharma 10:05 (1st), Cabrera Bello 13:15 (1st).