Golf Bets

Find Me a 100 Winner: In-form Trey to enjoy Wilmington test

  • Steven Rawlings
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 4 min read
Golfer Trey Mullinax
Trey Mullinax in action in Memphis last week

Our man's off to Prague and Delaware in the pursuit of a big priced winner this week and he has outsiders to trade at both the Czech Masters and the BMW Championship...

A week after 200.0199/1 pick, Anirban Lahiri, provided a return by trading at a low of 8.07/1 when he hit the front at the Wyndham Championship, last week's 150.0149/1 selection, Renato Paratore, finished fourth in the ISPS Handa World Invitational.

Paratore was matched at a low of 10.519/2 so he didn't quite hit the first lay back target of 10.09/1 unfortunately but it was another great example of a player suddenly finding form being capable of backing it up the following week.

At a huge price, last week's runner-up in Memphis, Step Straka, is an interesting runner at the BMW Championship.

The Austrian had missed eight cuts in-a-row and he'd shot just one round in the 60s since May before last week but if he backs it up, odds of around 250.0249/1 will look ridiculous.

I wouldn't deter anyone form throwing a few pounds in his direction, but he needs to overcome the disappointment of the playoff defeat and I'm far from convinced this week's venue is ideal either.

It may well have been the return to small Bermuda greens that galvanised Straka and this is a very different test. As highlighted in the preview, the bentgrass greens at Wilmington are enormous in comparison and it looks a test far more suited to another of last week's contenders - Trey Mullinax.

In-form Trey to enjoy Wilmington test

The big-hitting 30-year-old got off the mark on the PGA Tour in July when he birdied the last hole at Keene Trace Golf Club to edge out Kevin Streelman by a stroke in the Barbasol Championship.

Like Wilmington, Keene Trace has large bentgrass greens and unlike last week's venue, TPC Southwind, Wilmington is far more likely to suit a big bomber off the tee like Mullinax.

Since winning in Kentucky in July, and prior to his fifth place finish last week, Mullinax finished 21st in the Open Championship and 37th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic so he's got a reasonable bank of recent form and odds of around 200.0199/1 are just too big at a venue that should suit.

Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship in 2018 having gone off at in excess of 200.0199/1 but this is a tournament that usually goes the way of a fancied runner so I'm going with just Mullinax and adding two more in the Czech Republic...

Back 2u Trey Mullinax @ 190.0189/1
Place order to lay 8u @ 10.09/1 & 10u @ 2.35/4

Look to Lewis to shine in Prague

The two-time tournament winner, Thomas Pieters, this week's strong favourite at the Czech Masters won the latest edition of the Portugal Masters and as Matt Cooper highlights in his each-way column, there are bits and pieces of form to suggest the Portuguese venue, Dom Pedro, could correlate nicely with the Albatross Course - this week's host track.

I didn't feel as though it was quite a strong enough link for me to list it as a correlating course in the preview but Englishman, Tom Lewis, has won the Portugal Masters twice, and he too has form around the Albatross Course.

He hasn't moved forward in the States since finishing second at last week's venue, TPC Southwind, two years ago, but with recent form figures on the PGA Tour and Korn Ferry Tour reading 32-33-50-MC-MC-74, he hasn't been awful of late and a return to a venue that suits could see a big improvement.

tom lewis zurich.jpg

Lewis finished 10th at the ISPS Handa Championship in Spain in April after a string of missed cuts in the States and he already has Albatross form figures reading 39-MC-27-3-6-W.

Lewis' third place finish here in 2017 was his best result of the year and it was a very fine effort given he trailed by nine in a tie for 117th after an opening 75 in round one.

We're taking a bit of a leap of faith on current form but if he starts nicely on Thursday we could be in business. His 69 on Thursday in 2018, when he went on to finish sixth, is the only time he's bettered 71 in round one around the Albatross.

2 U Tom Lewis @ 140.0139/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 10.09/1 & 10u @ 2.35/4

In-form Virto a very obvious value play

My third and final pick is a very straightforward one, based on red-hot current form...

The 31-year-old Spaniard, Borja Virto, who won twice on the Challenge Tour in 2015, had never broken into the top-20 in 44 previous outings on the DP World Tour until he finished second to Ewen Ferguson in Northern Ireland last week, where he ranked fourth for Driving Distance, seventh for Driving Accuracy, second for Greens In Regulation, 14th for Scrambling and eighth for Putting Average.

That's a ridiculously solid set of stats and if he can keep it all rolling this week, he's certain to improve on his two missed cuts here in 2016 and 2017.

He can clearly get it out there off the tee, a key requisite around the Albatross Course, and if he plays like he did last week, he's certain to contend.

Back 2 u Borja Virto @ 160.0159/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 10.09/1 & 10u @ 2.35/4

*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter

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P/L: -79.5 units

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