Bermuda Championship 2026: Dave Tindall's each-way picks from 25/1 to 100/1

Introduction to the Bermuda Championship

The PGA Tour heads outside the USA once more with Bermuda the location for the fourth of the eight Fall Series events.

It's not one that attracts the big names - Corey Conners, the World No.61, is the highest-ranked player in the field - so much of the focus will be on the battle to secure a top 100 place in the FedEx Cup standings which brings full status for 2027.

Port Royal Golf Course in Southampton, designed by Robert Trent Jones Sr, is the longest course on the island but very much on the short side for a PGA Tour layout.

Measuring in at just 6,828 yards, it's the shortest par 71 on the rota and yet you may notice when checking out past editions - this is the eighth - that winning scores often don't get out of hand.

That's due to the coastal course's main defence - wind. Adam Schenk triumphed with just 12-under last year while Brian Gay (2020) and Lucas Herbert (2021) got it done with 15-under.

The weather forecast suggests plenty of wind blowing in off the Atlantic Ocean this year so that means the 24-under shot by Brendon Todd (2019) and Camilo Villegas (2023) surely won't be reached.

Short game on and around these Bermuda putting surfaces counts for plenty and the grass type lends itself to some obvious correlations with other short, Bermuda tracks: Waialae Country Club (Sony Open), Harbour Town (RBC Heritage), Sedgefield (Wyndham Championship) and Sea Island Resort (RSM Classic).

We can add PGA National (Honda Classic) and Pebble Beach as other wind-exposed tracks.

Bermuda Championship Bet 1 - Ben Kohles each-way @ 25/126.00

Experience often counts for plenty on these shorter, windier tracks and although Ben Kohles has 'only' 127 PGA Tour starts, the 36-year-old has been around the block a few times at various levels since turning pro 14 years ago.

He actually won twice on the then Nationwide Tour in his first season and has racked up three more victories at that level in more recent years with another pair of wins in 2023 and a four-shot victory at the BMW Charity Pro-Am earlier this season.

Since that win in June he's basically been racking up top 10s, 20s and 30s in every event he's played, the highlights a third in the John Deere Classic and ninth at the 3M Open.

He heads to Bermuda on the back of three straight top 20s at all the B's - Biltmore Championship (15th), Bank of Utah Championship (13th) and the Baycurrent Classic (17th).

Digging deeper, at the Biltmore he was second with a round to go while in Japan at the Baycurrent, Kohles was third at halfway in a field way better than this one.

Without bettering 39th, he's made all three cuts at this week's venue, a 65 in 2025 putting him 10th after 36 holes.

That's a decent enough body of work to suggest he can make a much bigger impact this time given his current strong form.

Kohles' stats really do advertise his chances. He's fourth on the PGA Tour this season for Strokes Gained Total, first for SG: Approach and first for Driving Accuracy.

What's stopping him winning - the putter? Nope, he's 40th for SG: Putting.

The only real negative is he's a very short hitter but that's not a problem this week on such a low-yardage track where Brian Gay has won.

In fact, his work off the tee should be a strength. Kohles ranks 155th out of 162 for Distance To Apex so he has one of the lowest ball flights on Tour. That's ideal for the forecast windy conditions.

Back him at 25s (10 Places) to follow up those five Korn Ferry titles with a first PGA Tour win.

Bermuda Championship Bet 2: Justin Lower each-way @ 40/141.00

Kohles is safely in at 80 on the FedEx Cup standings but at 156th, Justin Lower needs to get higher.

That shows this season has been a struggle for the 37-year-old (11 cuts out of 19 and very little to get excited about).

But the good news is he has the chance to make a big leap here in Bermuda where he deserves the title of course horse.

In the last five years, Lower has placed fifth (2024), eighth (2022), 17th (2021) and 20th (2023) at Port Royal Golf Course and on 10 occasions he's ended a round inside the top 10. That includes being the halfway leader two years ago.

One of the straighest hitters on the PGA Tour (11th Driving Accuracy), the other obvious positive for Lower is that his form looks to be turning just when he needs it most.

Making six of his last seven cuts is the overall picture but, notably, his best two results in that run have come in his last two starts - 33rd at the Biltmore and 20th at the Bank of Utah last time out when he shot a pair of 66s on the weekend.

Lower was asked the 'why do you play well here?' question a couple of years ago.

His response: "I just really like the golf course, it fits me. I don't have to go after it off the tee a little bit, or as much. I can just kind of smooth this out there.

"With the wind, you don't really want to get it up in the air and I can flight it pretty good. Yeah, just try to keep it in front of me and just kind of take it as they come and try to hole some putts in the meantime."

A low-ball hitter (156th out of 162 for Apex), his strong play here makes sense so take some 40/141.00 with 10 Places.

Bermuda Championship Bet 3: Adam Svensson each-way @ 100/1101.00

I'll lean into the course correlation angle with my final pick.

Like Lower, Adam Svensson is a low-ball hitter (157th) who needs to pull something out of the bag to secure his playing privileges.

The 32-year-old Canadian is way down at 177th in the FedEx Cup Fall charts and the clock is ticking.

He's had just two cracks at Bermuda and in the first, Svensson was 10th with a round to go before finishing 22nd so it's a course he can score on.

Adding to that belief is his record on other short, bermuda tracks.

He has a seventh at Waialae, ninth at PGA National, a pair of sevenths at Sedgefield and, most notably, a win and a fifth in the RSM Classic at Sea Island.

Ahead of that win, Svensson headed to the Georgia coast on the back of 39th in Houston, MC at the WWT in Mexico and 59th in the ZOZO.

Almost freakishly - let's call it a good omen - his last thee starts in 2026 are one place off being identical as they contain a 39th, a 58th and a missed cut.

The encouraging sign in that recent run is that he ranked fifth (Bank of Utah) and eighth (Biltmore) for SG: Approach in two of them so his iron play really has gone up a notch.

Getting a three-figure price with 10 Places looks decent in this field and Svensson has left enough clues for us to think that he might just pop.

Now read Steve Rawlings' in-depth preview of the Bermuda Championship

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