Ed Hawkins previews a contest on Sunday between two teams who are in crisis...
"Bangalore are 1.875/6 for this one with Delhi 2.111/10. It’s a stinker of a price about Bangalore, for sure. But we’re hardly bashing down the door to bet Delhi"
Royal Challengers Bangalore v Delhi Capitals
Sunday 7 April, 11:30
TV: live on BT Sport
Bangalore are getting worse
Bangalore have managed to plumb new depths. This is quite an achievement for a team bowled out for 70 in the season opener, humiliated by Sunrisers Hyderabad and was 0-4 before their contest against Kolkata Knight Riders.
What fresh hell awaited them. After batting first they rollicked to 205. A monstrous score, albeit on the best batting wicket in the tournament. Yet surprisingly, their bowlers were doing the job. The game, surely, was up with KKR needing 66 off 24 and then 53 off 18. Andre Russell happened. His 13-ball 48 was extraordinary.
It is true that Russell's power is the like of which we have never seen. But it is also scarcely believable how a bowler of international repute like Tim Southee, who bowled over 19 for 29, can so consistently miss his line and length. Southee effectively fed Russell's key strength, giving him width and room to swing. He was unable to bowl straight. He didn't attempt a yorker.
At best this damns RCB as a side who just don't bother to plan. As if we needed further evidence, of course. Pawan Negi, who we have been calling for since game one, was one who could hold his head high. Washington Sundar also needs to be in the XI.
Delhi a danger to themselves
We've discussed the foibles of Delhi Capitals here. Worryingly, they seem to be a Bangalore Mark II. High on skill, low on smarts. They have suffered two damaging consecutive losses to Sunrisers Hyderabad and Kings XI.
Their failure to ensure Sandeep Lamichhane was the first name on the team sheet suggests they have little understanding of what it takes to win franchise titles. With Axar Patel and Rahul Tewatia, they have a good spin attack. And South Africans Kagiso Rabada and Chris Morris are potent.
Their problem, unlike RCB, has been implosions with the bat. The collapse against Kings XI will live long in the memory of punters, mostly because they did the same in the previous game against Kolkata. It's three games in a row now where their batsmen have been on a procession back to the pavilion.
Pitch full of runs
RCB and Kolkata proved on Friday that the Chinnaswamy is a belter of a batting wicket. It's no secret, of course, and you will have to pay a high premium if you're going to bet on runs. Delhi are more consistent in a three-year study busting 160-plus scores than RCB so it might be smarter to bet on them. We also know that RCB's bowling is chaotic. The first-innings average in the last three years now stands at 176. Sportsbook go 5/6 over or under RCB runs (regardless of innings) 188.5.
Bang goes the trust
Bangalore are 1.875/6 for this one with Delhi 2.111/10. It's a stinker of a price about Bangalore, for sure. But we're hardly bashing down the door to bet Delhi.
Both these outfits are, at the moment, unreliability personified. One wouldn't trust them to beat a schoolboy XI. So you can hardly blame us for reckoning this is one to swerve.
Kohli a runs wager
We had our way with Kohli at 5/2 for top bat against Kolkata. We don't feel the need to go in again at 12/5 (Sportsbook). Instead, the 10/11 the firm offer about him busting 32.5 runs appeals. He averages 33.1 in T20. For Delhi Prithvi Shaw looks underrated at 7/2 for honours. He has started the season well. Shikhar Dhawan and Rish Pant are 3s. It's not a good price about the latter.
Pant, though, may be worth following for top six hitter. He has ten sixes in five games and as last season's top tournament six-hitter the 9/2 is not surprising. AB De Villiers has the same rate this term and gets the same quote. Moeen Ali stands out at 10s. With runscoring the focus, the 6/1 on offer about a century being scored in the first-innings makes a worthwhile wager.
Ed Hawkins P-L
Based only on available prices. Does not include back-to-lay in-running match advice or commission rate. Figures 2013-2016 on 1pt level stakes. New points system (0.5pt-5) introduced for 2017. Includes Hawk-Eye stats column p-l