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Thunder should get the points
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Sangha fit again
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Coulter-Nile and Cutting big prices
Melbourne Stars v Sydney Thunder
Wednesday 25 January, 08:15
TV: Live on Sky Sports
Team news
Stars have named an unchaned squad. That means Marcus Stoinis remains available. He was expected to leave for the UAE when the Stars had made the play-offs but that possibility ended some weeks ago.
Coach David Hussey takes charge of his last game in what will be a bitter end. The campaign has been hopeless.
Probable XI: Clarke, Rogers, Kellway, Cartwright, Stoinis, Webster, Larkin, Coulter-Nile, Wood, hatcher, Zampa
David Warner will not be available for Thunder if they were to reach the final. They need to win to be sure of qualification but are likely to finish no higher than fourth. That means winning (including this one) five-straight games for glory.
All-rounder Jason Sangha returns to the XI after a broken collarbone. He could bat at No 3.
Probable XI: Gilkes, Warner, Sangha, O Davies, Ross, Sams, Cutting, McAndrew, Green, Sandhu, Qadir
Team news
The four first-innings scores at the MCG this season have produced scores of 188, 108, 183 and 141. Six matches from ten last season in the Bash produced scores of 160 or more in the first dig. Stars and Thunder are scoring at average rates of 7.7 and 7 this term. An overs play is risky, then.
How to play
Stars are 2.3811/8 with Thunder 1.715/7. Stars have been dreadful and are bottom of the pile. They will remain there no matter what happens.
Thunder have lost three of their last five and are a great advert for why letting five teams qualify is a ridiculous idea.
We're not enamoured with either team. But because of the recipe for chaos and incompetence here, Stars may not be the worst trade to flip the odds.
Tops value
Warner has been boosted to 16/5 with Sportsbook for top Thunder. He won with 16 in a hammering by Sixers last time out. He has, frankly, been dreadful. Joe Clarke has been okay in an average side and is 7/2 for Stars. Big prices we've been tempted by throughout the tournament include Nathan Coulter-Nile for Stars at 75/1 and Ben Cutting at 18s for Thunder. We may go to the well again.
Recommended bets
Ed Hawkins P-L
2023: +0.272022:+19.79
2021: +29.41pts
2020: +5.91pts
2019: +37.25pts
2018: +23.53pts
2017: +12pts
2016: +18.1pts
2015: +38pts
2014: +31.5pts
2013: +25pt