India v Zimbabwe T20 World Cup Tips: Yadav Mr Reliable again

• MCG pitch could help bowlers
• Arshdeep to the fore
• Yadav a great bet

India v Zimbabwe
Sunday 6 October, 08:00
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Team news

India have flattered to deceive in this tournament. They won against Pakistan only because of Mohammad Nawaz's meltdown and an umpire error, they were underwhelming with the bat against Netherlands, beaten solidly by South Africa and flukey against Bangladesh.

This lot might get a nasty surprise in the knockouts against a more efficient outfit. Virat Kohli and Suryakumar Yadav are carrying the batting on their own.

Probable XI: Rahul, Rohit, Kohli, Yadav, Hardik, Karthik, Axar, Ashwin, Bhuv, Shami, Arshdeep

Zimbabwe have had a terrific run and they are likely to look back at a golden opportunity spurned. Victories over Bangladesh and Netherlands, comfortably within their grasp, would have them still alive.

Sikandar Raza has confirmed his reputation as one of the best al-rounders in the world and he should pick up decent pay pays in franchise as a result.

Probable XI: Madhevere, Ervine, Chakabva, Williams, Raza, Shumba, Burl, Jongwe, Ngarava, Chatara, Muzarabani

Pitch report

The 'G has been a damp squib this tournament. Only two games have been possible with three washouts. It has looked tricky for batters. The two games which were possible saw totals under 160 in the first dig. The overheads could make bowlers happy again so don't go mad expecting something massive from India. Zimbabwe's strength is undoubtedly their bowling.

How to play

India are 1.081/12 with Zimbabwe 12.523/2. If India bat first, Zimbabwe have a chance to use those bowling conditions to their advantage. There might be a trade available.

As we've said India have been far from convincing and so long as Zimbabwe are not fatigued or emotionally blown out, this could be dicey.

Tops value

Yadav was cut to 7/2 for top India bat against Bangaldesh and is now back out to 5s with Sportsbook. We'll take that. It's a bet on win rate and he is so consistent. Raza is 4/1 for top Zimbabwe bat.

With the ball, Arshdeep Singh has been very consistent and 3/1 for top India bowler is not skinny enough for how often he returns.