Daily Racing Tips: Back the fillies at Newmark

Carl Harris’ Daily Racing Tips / Carl Harris / 08 July 2009 / Leave a Comment

A bumper batch of bets today from Carl Harris at HQ...

What a great card at Newmarket, a good card by any standards and outstanding for a Wednesday. We saved our ammunition for today and hopefully we will be hitting the targets with some precision selections.

The highlight is the group one Falmouth Stakes and if at her best Goldikova (3.10) would win this in a canter. The interesting angle is Rainbow View who is getting nine pounds in weight for age allowances but from what we have seen so far this year I cannot see her winning this. Looking at the early prices Goldikova is huge value based on her form, if you can forgive her that last run.

Goldikova's form is exceptional, with her penultimate run being a win in The Breeders Cup Mile at Santa Anita. In the context of this race she is way ahead and official ratings substantiate that quite decisively. The stable are not in the best of form but she has bags of class and at that price I will be a significant backer of a world class filly. I would rate Spacious as the main danger to Goldikova and I advise you to lay Rainbow View.

The Cherry Hinton is another race for fillies, this time two-year-olds, which looks a match between Royal Ascot winner Habaayib and Queen Mary second Misheer (2.35). The Queen Mary was a better race than the Albany Stakes and was decisively won by Jealous Again, who was simply too good for the rest. I think that Misheer will be suited by the step up in trip and will have too much speed for the field. Neil Callan is an excellent jockey who will relish this opportunity to show his talents at the highest level. Misheer is the best value bet of the day, at almost [4.9] there is value to be had.

At a decent price Shamwari Lodge (2.00) looks to have outstanding claims for Ryan Moore and Richard Hannon. She is an improving filly who was just edged out at Epsom last time and drops back to six furlongs where she will be able to put her speed to good use. I think she may be well treated and can land this valuable prize and a nice return for backers.

Wednesday's Best Bets at Newmarket:

2.00 Shamwari Lodge, win @ [7.6]
2.35 Misheer, win and place @ [5.8]
3.10 Goldikova, win @ [3.15]
3.10 Rainbow View, lay @ [3.3]