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Today's Racing News: Go for Ascot Gold with cash on the Tash

Daryl Carter
16 June 2022
4:00 min read

It's Ascot Gold Cup day.

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Round three at Royal Ascot as punters head into the battlefield once again and here with a helping hand offering all of the days' stats, info and betting news from Royal Ascot is Daryl Carter...

"A good race, but this has the potential for an upset with the top of the market looking shakey jake, so it's worth backing the wildly overpriced Tashkhan 23.022/1 to excel at this new distance..."

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between from the last 24hrs.

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14:30 Norfolk Stakes

No favourite has won this contest in the last ten years. Walbank 2.47/5 currently heads the market and boasts the strongest form on offer with a second to Noble Style over course and distance.

Interestingly Daniel Tudhope jumps off of Pillow Talk 8.07/1 and on to Thunder Moor 26.025/1, which could be a pointer to the former's chances.

The Antarctic 4.57/2 represents Aidan O'Brien, who is looking for his third win in the race and O'Brien's highest strike rate in Ireland (26%) comes over the 5f distance.

Trainer Michael Bell is looking for his second win in the contest with the potentially very smart Brave Nation 8.07/1. Bell won this with The Lir Jet in 2020, and his sole runner at Ascot so far this week was a 28/1 second in the Queen Mary.

Bell's last four Juvenile runners at Royal Ascot have recorded form figures of 2213.

15:05 King George V Stakes

This looks a belter. Plenty of money came for William Haggas' handicap debutant Post Impressionist after the victory of Eldar Eldarov yesterday. He has plummeted from 10/1 into 10/3 on the Betfair Sportsbook. I would just say that he will improve for the step up in trip, but he does take a while to get going, and that could prove his undoing if stuck in a pocket.

No SP favourite has won this contest in the last ten years.

Eight of the last ten winners were drawn in a double-figure stall.

Stalls one to three are 3/75.

Jockey Jim Crowley has a 29% strike rate when riding for John and Thady Gosden, and he takes the ride on London Gold Cup winner Israr 8.515/2, who is a sure-fire improver for this new distance.

15:40 Ribblesdale Stakes

Aidan O'Brien is looking for his fourth win in this race with the impeccably bred 2.8m guineas yearling History 8.07/1. The yard recently stepped up Tuesday from 1m to 1m4f to win the Oaks, and this horse makes a similar step up in distance today.

Trainer Jessica Harrington saddles favourite Magical Lagoon 3.02/1, but the trainer is just 4/56 in Britain in the last two years.

Mukaddamah 7.06/1 will appreciate the step up in distance and arguably has the strongest form on offer with a staying on third at Newbury to subsequent Oaks third Nashwa.

17:00 Britannia Stakes

This is one of the strongest races I have seen for some time, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see any number of horses come to the fore.

In the last ten years, only two horses rated below 90 have won, and only one rated above 99 has won.

Only two horses from single-figure draws have won in the last ten years.

Only one winning SP favourite has won in the last ten years.

Ten different trainers have won this in the last ten years.

17:35 Hampton Court Stakes

It would be fitting should Reach For The Moon 1.68/13 score for the Queen on her Platinum Jubilee year. He should prove very tough to beat in this weak renewal of the Hampton Court.

18:10 Buckingham Palace Stakes

No winning favourite in the last seven renewals.

Four-year-olds have won the last two runnings.

All winners have returned a double-figure SP price.

The draw could scupper the chances of favourite Montassib 4.57/2, but he looks as though he could be a mile ahead of the handicapper. He missed the whole of 2021 but has wasted no time in making his presence felt in two handicaps this season, scoring in good style both times.

No. 15 (1)

Montassib

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Age: 4
Weight: 9st 4lbs
OR: 97

He could easily be masquerading as a Group horse in a handicap given the manner he cruised to victory at Goodwood, and his strong travelling racing style is perfect for this set-up.

He will need to defy the stats, but he could be a good deal ahead of the handicapper, and he makes plenty of appeal at 4.57/2 or bigger.

Chief Of Chiefs 13.012/1 is worth a small each-way cover bet after getting no run in the Victoria Cup and having ideal conditions to finally score!

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Horses for courses

This section highlights the best bets from horses that have won twice or more at Ascot.

16:20 Ascot - Trueshan - Has won here twice (100%
17:00 Ascot - Atrium - Has won here twice (100%)
18:10 Ascot - River Nymph - Has won here twice (40%)

Furthest traveller

Today's furthest traveller at Ascot is trainer Karl Burke with his runner Pillow Talk 7.06/1 in the 14:30.

Race of the day

The day's feature race is the 16:20 Ascot Gold Cup, and it looks a cracker, but punter's beware that Trueshan could potentially be a non-runner with the fast ground.

No. 5 (5)

Kyprios (Ire)

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien, Ireland
Jockey: Ryan Moore
Age: 4
Weight: 9st 3lbs
OR: -

Kyprios heads the market here and has been outstanding in Ireland, and four-year-olds have an excellent record in the race. There are lots of positives for this up-and-comer, but the niggling doubt for backers will be whether he can produce the same performance travelling across the Irish Sea.

He has twice been outside Ireland and beaten ten and 17 lengths. It could be argued that both of those runs came on soft ground and therefore are easily forgiven. His 3/3 record on a sounder surface could, and today's fast ground could put that doubt to rest, but it's a question the short-priced favourite must answer on what is the biggest test to date.

No. 3 (2)

Stradivarius (Ire)

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Frankie Dettori
Age: 8
Weight: 9st 4lbs
OR: -

Stradivarius will relish today's quick ground, and he has been the staying kingpin of the division for the last four years and arrives on the back of an excellent winning performance in the Yorkshire Cup.

He is a three-time winner of this contest, but now, at the age of eight, is this mammoth distance what he really wants? He has suffered defeat the last twice he tackled this distance here in this contest last year and at Longchamp three starts back.

He won't be far away, but younger legs may be about to take the baton.

No. 7 (6)

Tashkhan (Ire)

Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Ben Robinson
Age: 4
Weight: 9st 3lbs
OR: -

This race has been the target for four-year-old Tashkhan, who has been building to a bigger performance and is a sure improver for this step up in distance on the balance of his form. He stuck to the task well at York in a steadily run affair when three lengths off Stradivarius, and his seasonal return when fourth behind Princess Zoe here in the Sagaro Stakes over 2m was an encouraging performance.

He was an excellent second in the Long Distance Cup here in October behind Trueshan when having Stradivarius behind but the key to this progressive horse is certainly the trip.

He should be fully fit now and has conditions in his favour to play a strong hand in proceedings.

Big race verdict

A good race, but this has the potential for an upset with the top of the market looking shakey jake, so it's worth backing the wildly overpriced Tashkhan to excel at this new distance he has been crying out for. Four-year-olds have a great record, and he is the potential improver.

Fancy a 160/1 Dudman double?

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Alan Dudman is heading into Thursday's Royal action with a 160/1 each-way double for the big handicaps on Day 3...

Read Al Dudman's tips here.

Final Word - Hats off to O'Brien and Blake

Bay Bridge failed to get the job done yesterday, but thankfully we covered with an advised bet on State Of Rest W/O Bay Bridge at 9/4. It was an excellent training performance by Joseph O'Brien and a tactical masterclass by his team.

He and everyone else saw no pace in the race, but it was State Of Rest's connections that took the race by the balls and put their rivals to the sword.

It's that type of daring move that will see young Joseph follow in the footsteps of his father, Aidan. He may not have the firepower of his father yet, but there's little doubt he and his team have the bold approach to make this game extremely successful in the future.

Some trainers can talk a good game, but it's those that are tactically aware and can see an opportunity in a race that will make them great. It's all well and good running a horse up and down a hill at home (joke), but racing has evolved into tactical warfare with the smaller and smaller field sizes.

It's clear from the outburst of emotion yesterday that Betfair's Kevin Blake played a significant role in the outcome of that race, and Joseph will do well to keep that partnership in tact. Both of the lads and their team at home clearly have their heads firmly screwed on regarding race tactics, and that will give them a huge advantage going forward - it's such a pleasure to watch.

Fairplay to connections and a very well-deserved victory for the "tank" State Of Rest.

Until tomorrow, be lucky.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7