Timeform UK SmartPlays: Monday January 6

Our first bet comes in the 12:55. Notwithstanding that What A Good Night has been dropped 8 lb on the strength of just one poor run, Shouldavboughtgold looks easily the most solid option here. Admittedly he's not without risks himself, essentially pulling himself up when looking certain to win at Wetherby last time, though the hope is that cheekpieces will straighten him out a little. There's also the fact that what could have been a hefty rise in the weights is instead just a fair 7 lb. Shouldavboughtgold probably has more to come as a chaser and is expected to find conditions conducive to that. He should be a bit shorter than current odds.

Similar sentiments apply to Hopatina (13:25). Seeking a hat-trick and in an ordinary event, you might have expected Hopatina to be shorter than 3.02/1 but she's not even favourite at the time of writing. Fountains Mary, the current market leader, made heavy weather of winning last time while Hopatina has looked relatively straightforward all along. It's staying trips which are expected to bring out the best in Hopatina, so improvement is anticipated on this second start over three miles. And don't be put off should she fail to depose Fountains Mary in the betting: for her two successes so far, Hopatina has returned BSPs of 24.023/1 and 10.519/2.

SmartPlay number three is another with seemingly obvious claims who ought to be shorter than their morning price. The Happy Warrior (15:00) has managed to get into this race off a 3-lb lower mark than when successful last time, that being a conditionals event in which he was out of the weights. Were that not plain enough, the testing conditions really should suit as he's shaped like a stayer on just about all starts so far. A big, chasing type on looks, The Happy Warrior could also prove adept over these fixed-brush hurdles, those being especially suited to those whose future lies over fences, this gelding's almost certainly does.

Timeform UK SmartPlays
All at Southwell

Back Shouldavboughtgold @ 3.185/40 in the 12:55
Back Hopatina @ 3.8514/5 in the 13:25
Back The Happy Warrior @ 3.814/5 in the 15:00