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Saturday Racing Tips: Kate Tracey thinks Levi is lethally well handicapped

Kate Tracey
29 July 2022
5:00 min read

Kate Tracey thinks Lethal Levi remains a fair price

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It's the final day of Glorious Goodwood and Kate Tracey has sighted all her Saturday bets at the Festival. there's a confident selection in the Stewards' Cup Consolation Race before five further fancies in the remaining races...

"He may well be a group horse in a handicap and his revised mark would have easily got him into the Stewards’ Cup itself so it looks a solid piece of placing to pick up this consolation prize."

Levi is lethally well handicapped

We have a very thin on the ground renewal of the Stewards' Sprint Handicap, the consolation race for the Stewards' Cup at 13:40. This is also a handicap for 3yo+ over 6f for horses balloted out of the main event. The disappointing turnout makes sense to an extent though as many who were balloted out of the Stewards' Cup are instead sighting the Sprint Series Final for £25,000 more on Monday at Windsor. Such is the well thought out calendar in British horse racing...

We are only left with 12 runners in the consolation race but there is a standout contender who should take all the beating. That horse is Lethal Levi who remains available at 2.757/4 but that is likely to shorten near the off.

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This unexposed three-year-old remains open to further improvement and is likely to bring up a hattrick here.

He has been very well placed by Karl Burke to gain his successes as he continues to climb the ladder. His handicap mark has only been able to increase steadily with the handicapper firmly on the backfoot when it comes to rating this horse.

He is able to run here off a mark of 85 which he won off two starts ago, he's won twice since then so must carry a double penalty for those successes. However, he is only a three-year-old so gets his weight-for-age allowance.

He is now rated 100 officially which sees him 9lb well-in and he has the extra assistance of Pierre-Louis Jamin's 3lb claim off his back.

He may well be a group horse in a handicap and his revised mark would have easily got him into the Stewards' Cup itself so it looks a solid piece of placing to pick up this consolation prize.

Not only is he well treated but he also ticks many of the trend boxes. He's likely to go forwards to try and make all which been seen to good effect in this race in recent years. He's well drawn in stall three where he can stay out of trouble and simply, blast from his low draw.

He comes into this race on the back of eight starts this season which is another notable plus to enter this race on the back of a busy campaign. Running well in a handicap last time out is a positive trend which Lethal Levi certainly fits, winning his latest outing easily.

He has also had the perfect turnaround time of one week or less as he won exactly a week ago on 23rd July.

He is a highly progressive three-year-old who should simply, prove better than his rivals.

Side with two in Summer Handicap

The following race at Goodwood is the Summer Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m6f at 14:10 where I'm siding with two.

This is a very open handicap as you'd expect so it's worth keeping a couple on side.

The first runner being Sam Cooke at 11.010/1 who I still think a lot of after he did me a turn in August of last year when winning at York at a fair price. He's held his form well since that success for all he hasn't been able to get his head in front.

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However, certain races have conspired against him whereas I think he should have the perfect set-up for this race. This contest tends to go to horses ridden with restraint who come into this race on the back of three runs that season.

Sam Cooke also ran very well last time out in a Newmarket Heritage Handicap, a race in which plenty of these reopposing runners also contested. One of which was Soapy Stevens who won however, Sam Cooke probably came from further back than ideal in that race.

He must shoulder just a 1lb rise for that fourth-place finish and with conditions more likely to suit, Sam Cooke can reverse that form.

The other runner I respect in here who I must also have a saver bet on is Trawlerman who has been heavily backed in from 10.09/1 to 5.59/2. I want to side with him before he shortens up anymore.

He doesn't have as obvious a profile for this race as Sam Cooke which is why it's interesting that he is the subject of such support. I feel Trawlerman has much more to offer after he too, ran in the Newmarket Heritage Handicap contested by Sam Cooke.

Trawlerman was ridden even further back than Sam Cooke and was hampered before being eased. Therefore, I don't think that finishing position was a true reflection of his run.

Trawlerman has been given 1lb back by the handicapper which should bring him far closer to his reopposing rivals granted a clearer run. Again, with conditions to suit his hold up style of racing, he should have every chance.

Hackwood form to come to the fore in Stewards' Cup

The main event itself, the Stewards' Cup comes up at 15:20. This is a Heritage Handicap for 3yo+ over 6f and is typically, wide open.

I ran my usual trends for this race to initially land on three runners. There is no ideal age for this race at all so that's the first sticking point. However, it is notable that horses rated between 104 and 108 have an advantage. That includes those who have a claimer on their back to get into this rating bracket.

Middle to high draws are preferred but central stalls are best positioned for options. The Stewards' Cup requires a lot of luck in running and especially since this race has gone to hold up performers in recent years.

Coming into the race on the back of four runs that season is optimal and the perfect race to have contested last time out is the Group 3 Hackwood Stakes. It makes sense therefore, that a two-week turnaround is also notable.

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There are a host of horses who contested the Newbury Group 3 on their latest outings which makes this task of narrowing them down even tougher.

I like the chances of Great Ambassador firstly, who was one of the most progressive sprinters of last season. He signed off last campaign on the up after winning three times and finishing third in this race last year off an 11lb lower mark.

That progression of last season was halted on his reappearance start where he finished last in the Group 1 Platinum Jubilee. He posted a much better effort last time out when seventh in the Group 3 Hackwood Stakes where he had plenty of these reopposing rivals in behind.

Back in a handicap and with Saffie Osbourne's 3lb claim off his back, Great Ambassador has every chance.

The two biggest dangers to Great Ambassador are Chil Chil and Saint Lawrence.

Chil Chil may well prove to be the group horse in this handicap and could easily dot up as a result.

She has won twice on her second start after a lengthy break in her career and is bidding to do the same again here.

She too, ran in the aforementioned Hackwood where she finished just a shorthead behind Great Ambassador.

She was in receipt of 3lb from Great Ambassador on that occasion whereas she's having to give her reopposing rival 1lb this time around when taking into account jockeys' claims.

But of course, that race was Chil Chil's reappearance start which she's more than entitled to come forwards from which makes her a huge danger. She's worth backing at 9.08/1 each-way.

The final horse I cannot go without mentioning, even as a token gesture, is Saint Lawrence who is the biggest price of the three at 21.020/1. I was trying to talk myself out of backing Roger Varian's runner but I'm failing to make a compelling case against him...

He has an ideal rating for this contest, running off a mark of 105 and is another hold up performer coming into this race on the back of four starts this season. He too ran in the Hackwood last time out where he only beat one home.

He hasn't won since 2020 but he's been very consistent in defeat since then. The yard form is a big plus and Saint Lawrence is a well-treated horse if running to his best.