Horse Racing Tips: Rhys Williams' NAP is a stable switcher at Sedgefield

• Positive trainer switch

• Tongue tie back on

• Monjules overpriced at Sedgefield

• Read and follow our daily World Cup Live Blog here

• Sign up for our World Cup Newsletter here

Potential for bounce back on first start for Fry

Sedgefield 13:00: Monjules 2pt win 16/5

Two horses having their first starts for new yards head the market in this handicap hurdle. Patient Dream has been backed into favourite this morning on his first start for Donald McCain and he has the potential to improve but he's hung right-handed and jumped out to his right in the past so I have a concern over whether this track will see him at his best.

The second favourite is Monjules and I think he has the potential to be much better than his rating of 98 on his first start for Harry Fry. He started his career in France and was moderate on the flat before being switched to hurdling. He showed a bit of ability early on but his form had dipped at Auteuil and Saint-Malo before the hood was removed and he showed far more on his final two starts in France.

On both occasions he finished behind Zaky, who has since been placed in Listed handicaps and is rated the equivalent of 122, while the runner up at Auteuil on Monjules' final start in France was Mon Doudou who is now rated the equivalent of 114.

Monjules was claimed out of that race at Auteuil for €16,506 and made his first start for John Norton over this C&D in November last year. That was a weak juvenile hurdle and he got off the mark there before his form declined although he ran ok at Newcastle two starts ago when last of the seven closely bunched behind wide-margin winner Kihavah.

Monjules was John Norton's first winner over jumps since February 2016 and he's only had one winner on the flat since then so it's reasonable to think that Monjules could improve plenty for the switch to Harry Fry. Monjules also wore a tongue tie in France and a tongue tie goes back on today having not worn one in any of his four starts for Norton.

It may turn out that he's up against another very well handicapped rival in Patient Dream or that Monjules won't transfer the ability he showed in France to racing in Britain but given the potential for a return to a much better level of form today, I think he should be favourite and any 5/2 or bigger appeals.

Watch this week's Racing Only Bettor